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Verifiable record

Accuracy

Every official prediction is locked before kick-off and never changed afterwards.

Verified sample

Overall accuracy is published

The figure uses only completed matches with predictions locked before kick-off. The full history of hits and misses remains public.

Overall hit rate 71.2%
1801 verified predictions Hits: 1282 · Misses: 519 · Average confidence: 70.6%
STRATEGY CALCULATOR

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No hindsight editing

How the record is built

01

Lock

The main signal is saved before kick-off and cannot be changed afterwards.

02

Verify

After the final whistle, the result is automatically checked against the prediction.

03

Publish

At a sufficient sample size we show hit rate, average confidence and sample size by market.

Performance over time

Accuracy without hiding the timeframe

Hit rate 71.2% 1282 / 1801 · average confidence 70.6%
Both to score232 predictions
67.7%
Confidence 67.3%
Outcome1522 predictions
71.8%
Confidence 71.5%
Totals47 predictions
68.1%
Confidence 59.5%
Model calibration

Does confidence match the outcome?

Each band compares average stated probability with the actual hit rate. The closer the lines, the better calibrated the model.

57.7% 60.6%
50–59% n = 109
66.1% 67.7%
60–69% n = 743
74.2% 74.3%
70–79% n = 810
83.0% 77.2%
80–89% n = 123
93.0% 100.0%
90–100% n = 16
Average confidenceActual hit rate
Tools Check the numbers before deciding
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Public ledger

Latest 200 predictions

Match We predicted Result Verdict
Argentinos Juniors — Independiente RivadaviaPrimera LPF, Clausura 1X 1:0 Hit
Torino FC — Como 1907Serie A Over 1:3 Hit
AS Roma — Cagliari CalcioSerie A W1 4:2 Hit
Sassuolo Calcio — Lazio RomeSerie A X2 2:6 Hit
Instituto AC Cordoba — Deportivo Riestra AFBCPrimera LPF, Clausura 1X 1:0 Hit
CR Flamengo RJ — Atletico Mineiro MGBrasileiro Serie A W1 3:2 Hit
Coritiba FC PR — Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RSBrasileiro Serie A 1X 0:1 Miss
Union de Santa Fe — Estudiantes de La PlataPrimera LPF, Clausura 1X 3:1 Hit
Sevilla FC — CA OsasunaLaLiga 1X 2:0 Hit
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique LyonLigue 1 W1 2:0 Hit
Santa Clara Azores — SL BenficaLiga Portugal W2 1:2 Hit
Galatasaray Istanbul — Fenerbahce IstanbulSuper Lig 1X 2:1 Hit
Caykur Rizespor — TrabzonsporSuper Lig X2 3:4 Hit
Besiktas Istanbul — Istanbul BasaksehirSuper Lig W1 2:0 Hit
Los Angeles FC — Los Angeles GalaxyMLS W1 2:2 Miss
CA Barracas Central — Estudiantes Rio CuartoPrimera LPF, Clausura Over 2:1 Hit
CA Central Cordoba SE — Velez SarsfieldPrimera LPF, Clausura X2 0:5 Hit
CA River Plate (ARG) — Racing Club AvellanedaPrimera LPF, Clausura W1 1:0 Hit
Sporting CP — Academico de Viseu FCLiga Portugal W1 1:2 Miss
CA Independiente Avellaneda — Boca JuniorsPrimera LPF, Clausura X2 0:1 Hit
FC Barcelona — Real MadridLaLiga BTTS 1:2 Hit
Udinese Calcio — AC MilanSerie A X2 0:2 Hit
AZ Alkmaar — FC Twente EnschedeEredivisie 1X 0:2 Miss
Union Saint-Gilloise — Cercle BruggeFirst Division A W1 5:2 Hit
Nacional da Madeira — SC BragaLiga Portugal W2 1:0 Miss
Rio Ave FC — FC FamalicaoLiga Portugal X2 0:4 Hit
CA Aldosivi — CA Belgrano de CordobaPrimera LPF, Clausura X2 1:0 Miss
Real Sociedad San Sebastian — Levante UDLaLiga BTTS 2:1 Hit
KAA Gent — RSC AnderlechtFirst Division A 1X 4:0 Hit
US Lecce — Juventus TurinSerie A W2 0:2 Hit
Sunderland — Leeds UnitedEPL X2 0:0 Hit
SC Freiburg — Bayern MunichBundesliga BTTS 1:3 Hit
Angers SCO — FC LorientLigue 1 X2 0:0 Hit
Olympique Marseille — Le Havre ACLigue 1 W1 4:3 Hit
AJ Auxerre — Le Mans FCLigue 1 1X 1:1 Hit
Stade Rennais FC — Strasbourg AlsaceLigue 1 BTTS 3:0 Miss
Toulouse FC — ESTAC TroyesLigue 1 W1 0:0 Miss
Goztepe Izmir — Corum FKSuper Lig 1X 2:0 Hit
Sparta Rotterdam — Ajax AmsterdamEredivisie W2 1:2 Hit
Estoril Praia — Moreirense FCLiga Portugal 1X 1:3 Miss
RC Celta de Vigo — Real Betis SevilleLaLiga X2 0:0 Hit
Club Brugge — St. Truidense VVFirst Division A W1 3:2 Hit
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga BTTS 3:0 Miss
Manchester United — BournemouthEPL 1X 0:3 Miss
Hull City — BrentfordEPL BTTS 1:1 Hit
Liverpool — Brighton and Hove AlbionEPL BTTS 2:0 Miss
Crystal Palace — Newcastle UnitedEPL BTTS 0:2 Miss
Atalanta BC — Frosinone CalcioSerie A 1X 4:4 Hit
Motherwell FC — Heart of Midlothian FCPremiership X2 0:2 Hit
Genoa CFC — Venezia FCSerie A 1X 1:0 Hit
AS Monaco — Lille OSCLigue 1 1X 1:1 Hit
PSV Eindhoven — Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisie BTTS 1:1 Hit
NEC Nijmegen — FC GroningenEredivisie BTTS 2:2 Hit
Athletic Bilbao — Getafe CFLaLiga W1 4:0 Hit
Konyaspor — Genclerbirligi SKSuper Lig 1X 2:0 Hit
KRC Genk — Standard LiegeFirst Division A BTTS 2:1 Hit
Hibernian FC — Celtic GlasgowPremiership BTTS 1:2 Hit
Inter Milano — ACF FiorentinaSerie A W1 2:1 Hit
Fortuna Sittard — Excelsior RotterdamEredivisie X2 1:0 Miss
Portland Timbers — Charlotte FCMLS 1X 3:2 Hit
San Diego FC — Seattle SoundersMLS BTTS 2:2 Hit
Colorado Rapids — Vancouver Whitecaps FCMLS X2 1:0 Miss
Real Salt Lake — Saint Louis City SCMLS 1X 3:0 Hit
CA Rosario Central — CA HuracanPrimera LPF, Clausura 1X 2:0 Hit
Sporting Kansas City — Austin FCMLS 1X 1:2 Miss
FC Dallas — San Jose EarthquakesMLS BTTS 3:0 Miss
Houston Dynamo — Minnesota United FCMLS 1X 0:0 Hit
Santos FC SP — EC Bahia BABrasileiro Serie A 1X 1:1 Hit
Atlanta United FC — Chicago FireMLS BTTS 2:3 Hit
DC United — FC CincinnatiMLS BTTS 0:2 Miss
Orlando City SC — New York City FCMLS BTTS 2:2 Hit
Philadelphia Union — New England RevolutionMLS W1 1:2 Miss
Chapecoense SC — Fluminense FC RJBrasileiro Serie A X2 2:1 Miss
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro — Newell's Old BoysPrimera LPF, Clausura 1X 0:0 Hit
CR Vasco da Gama RJ — SC Corinthians SPBrasileiro Serie A W1 3:2 Hit
SE Palmeiras SP — Red Bull Bragantino SPBrasileiro Serie A W1 2:0 Hit
New York Red Bulls — Inter Miami CFMLS BTTS 2:0 Miss
CA Talleres de Cordoba — Defensa y JusticiaPrimera LPF, Clausura 1X 1:2 Miss
Mirassol FC SP — Sao Paulo FC SPBrasileiro Serie A 1X 1:1 Hit
SC Internacional RS — Botafogo FR RJBrasileiro Serie A 1X 3:0 Hit
EC Vitoria BA — CA Paranaense PRBrasileiro Serie A X2 1:1 Hit
Gil Vicente Barcelos — FC PortoLiga Portugal W2 0:1 Hit
Columbus Crew — Toronto FCMLS BTTS 4:2 Hit
Atletico Madrid — RC Deportivo de A CorunaLaLiga W1 1:0 Hit
ADO Den Haag — SC HeerenveenEredivisie X2 2:3 Hit
Lazio Rome — Parma CalcioSerie A W1 2:1 Hit
Racing Club De Lens — Paris FCLigue 1 BTTS 2:1 Hit
RAAL La Louviere — SV Zulte WaregemFirst Division A X2 3:0 Miss
KVC Westerlo — SK BeverenFirst Division A 1X 4:4 Hit
CA Banfield — CA LanusPrimera LPF, Clausura X2 1:1 Hit
CF Montreal — Nashville SCMLS W2 0:2 Hit
FC Alverca SAD — FC AroucaLiga Portugal 1X 0:1 Miss
Willem II Tilburg — SC CambuurEredivisie BTTS 1:6 Hit
Chelsea — Tottenham HotspurEPL 1X 0:2 Miss
Valencia CF — Villarreal CFLaLiga X2 1:2 Hit
Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga W1 1:0 Hit
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Lommel SKFirst Division A 1X 2:2 Hit
SSC Napoli — AS RomaSerie A 1X 3:3 Hit
Samsunspor — Amed Sportif FaaliyetlerSuper Lig X2 1:2 Hit
FC Utrecht — PEC ZwolleEredivisie BTTS 1:1 Hit
Estrela Amadora — Casa Pia LisbonLiga Portugal 1X 0:2 Miss
Racing Santander — Espanyol BarcelonaLaLiga 1X 2:1 Hit
Arsenal — EvertonEPL W1 2:0 Hit
Coventry City — FulhamEPL X2 0:1 Hit
Dundee United — Aberdeen FCPremiership 1X 3:2 Hit
Glasgow Rangers — St. Johnstone FCPremiership W1 4:0 Hit
St Mirren FC — Dundee FCPremiership 1X 2:1 Hit
Falkirk FC — Kilmarnock FCPremiership 1X 3:0 Hit
Lincoln City — Burnley FCChampionship X2 4:1 Miss
Queens Park Rangers — Swansea CityChampionship 1X 5:0 Hit
West Ham United — Southampton FCChampionship BTTS 2:3 Hit
Royal Antwerp FC — Royal Charleroi SCFirst Division A X2 3:0 Miss
Blackburn Rovers — Wrexham AFCChampionship X2 2:0 Miss
Cardiff City — Birmingham CityChampionship BTTS 1:0 Miss
Preston North End — West Bromwich AlbionChampionship X2 1:1 Hit
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Watford FCChampionship W1 1:0 Hit
Stoke City — Bristol CityChampionship 1X 0:0 Hit
1. FC Cologne — Schalke 04Bundesliga 1X 0:0 Hit
SC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SVBundesliga 1X 1:0 Hit
RB Leipzig — SV 07 ElversbergBundesliga W1 4:0 Hit
FC Augsburg — Union BerlinBundesliga 1X 1:1 Hit
FSV Mainz — Werder BremenBundesliga BTTS 2:3 Hit
Cagliari Calcio — Bologna FCSerie A X2 0:2 Hit
Como 1907 — Sassuolo CalcioSerie A W1 2:0 Hit
Gaziantep FK — Erzurumspor FKSuper Lig 1X 1:3 Miss
Rayo Vallecano — Elche CFLaLiga BTTS 0:3 Miss
Aston Villa — Manchester CityEPL BTTS 2:1 Hit
Portsmouth FC — Millwall FCChampionship 1X 2:1 Hit
Sheffield United — Derby CountyChampionship Over 1:1 Miss
Charlton Athletic — Norwich CityChampionship X2 1:3 Hit
Eyupspor — Kasimpasa IstanbulSuper Lig W2 0:1 Hit
CA Tigre — Atletico TucumanPrimera LPF, Clausura Under 0:1 Hit
Cruzeiro EC MG — Clube do Remo PABrasileiro Serie A W1 1:0 Hit
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — CA PlatensePrimera LPF, Clausura 1X 1:2 Miss
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata — CA Sarmiento JuninPrimera LPF, Clausura W1 2:0 Hit
Vitoria SC Guimaraes — Maritimo MadeiraLiga Portugal W1 5:0 Hit
Ipswich Town — Nottingham ForestEPL X2 1:1 Hit
Deportivo Alaves — Malaga CFLaLiga W1 1:1 Miss
Bolton Wanderers — Middlesbrough FCChampionship W2 1:5 Hit
Torino FC — AC MonzaSerie A 1X 3:2 Hit
Stade Brest 29 — OGC NiceLigue 1 1X 1:2 Miss
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia MonchengladbachBundesliga W1 2:3 Miss
Go Ahead Eagles — SC TelstarEredivisie BTTS 3:2 Hit
Alanyaspor — KocaelisporSuper Lig 1X 1:2 Miss
NK Celje — FC SalzburgUEFA Europa League W2 2:2 Miss
AFC Bournemouth — AC MilanUEFA Europa League 1X 3:0 Hit
Besiktas Istanbul — Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League 1X 2:2 Hit
Celtic Glasgow — RC Celta de VigoUEFA Europa League BTTS 1:2 Hit
FC Viktoria Plzen — PFC Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League Over 1:2 Hit
Jagiellonia Bialystok — RSC AnderlechtUEFA Europa League X2 0:3 Hit
Lillestroem SK — Real Sociedad San SebastianUEFA Europa League W2 0:6 Hit
Olympiacos Piraeus — Sparta PragueUEFA Europa League W1 1:0 Hit
Ajax Amsterdam — Atalanta BCUEFA Conference League 1X 2:0 Hit
AS Monaco — SC FreiburgUEFA Conference League 1X 3:0 Hit
AC Omonia Nicosia — SL BenficaUEFA Europa League W2 1:4 Hit
TSG Hoffenheim — Olympique LyonUEFA Europa League 1X 3:0 Hit
FC Midtjylland — St. Truidense VVUEFA Conference League BTTS 0:1 Miss
SC Braga — KAA GentUEFA Conference League 1X 2:0 Hit
FC Thun — HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Conference League BTTS 0:1 Miss
FK Borac Banja Luka — Kuopion PalloseuraUEFA Conference League W1 2:0 Hit
AGF Aarhus — KF Egnatia RrogozhineUEFA Conference League W1 1:1 Miss
Lincoln Red Imps — FC Twente EnschedeUEFA Conference League W2 1:4 Hit
FC Ararat-Armenia — AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League W2 0:4 Hit
Juventus Turin — Stade Rennais FCUEFA Europa League W1 2:2 Miss
Ferencvarosi Budapest — SCU TorreenseUEFA Europa League W1 4:1 Hit
GNK Dinamo Zagreb — NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League W1 2:4 Miss
SK Sturm Graz — Olympique MarseilleUEFA Europa League X2 1:0 Miss
FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade — FC CopenhagenUEFA Conference League 1X 2:2 Hit
FC Nordsjaelland — PFC CSKA SofiaUEFA Conference League W1 2:2 Miss
KKS Lech Poznan — Sunderland AFCUEFA Europa League W2 1:1 Miss
Union Saint-Gilloise — Hapoel Be`er Sheva FCUEFA Europa League W1 4:0 Hit
FK Jablonec — Brighton & Hove AlbionUEFA Conference League W2 0:0 Miss
OFI Crete — Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League W2 0:2 Hit
Inter Club de Escaldes — CS Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Conference League W2 1:3 Hit
Pafos FC — Riga FCUEFA Conference League W1 1:1 Miss
FC Iberia 1999 — Mjallby AIFUEFA Conference League X2 1:1 Hit
Trabzonspor — Heart of Midlothian FCUEFA Conference League W1 2:0 Hit
Getafe CF — FC LuganoUEFA Conference League 1X 2:5 Miss
FK Kauno Zalgiris — SK BrannUEFA Conference League Over 1:4 Hit
FC Kairat Almaty — Panathinaikos AthensUEFA Conference League W2 1:5 Hit
FC Cincinnati — DC UnitedMLS BTTS 2:1 Hit
Club Brugge — Racing Club De LensUEFA Champions League 1X 3:0 Hit
Inter Milano — FC Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League W1 1:0 Hit
Real Madrid — RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League W1 4:1 Hit
Real Betis Seville — Feyenoord RotterdamUEFA Champions League BTTS 1:0 Miss
Sporting CP — LASK LinzUEFA Champions League W1 2:3 Miss
Aston Villa — Viking FKUEFA Champions League W1 3:1 Hit
Bayern Munich — Arsenal FCUEFA Champions League 1X 2:2 Hit
Levante UD — Athletic BilbaoLaLiga X2 3:1 Miss
Como 1907 — Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League BTTS 4:1 Hit
Lille OSC — Galatasaray IstanbulUEFA Champions League 1X 2:4 Miss
VfB Stuttgart — Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League X2 1:1 Hit
Manchester City — AEK AthensUEFA Champions League W1 5:1 Hit
SSC Napoli — Bodoe/GlimtUEFA Champions League BTTS 4:3 Hit
AS Roma — SK Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League W1 4:0 Hit
FC Porto — PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League W1 0:1 Miss
Liverpool FC — Villarreal CFUEFA Champions League W1 4:3 Hit
Paris Saint-Germain — FC BarcelonaUEFA Champions League BTTS 4:2 Hit
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Portsmouth FCChampionship W1 1:1 Miss
Sabah Masazir — Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League W2 1:2 Hit
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