FK Kauno Zalgiris — SK Brann: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 43.2% |
| 12 | 75.9% | |
| X2 | 81.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.9% / 41.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.8% / 17.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.3% / 62.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.1% / 79.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.4% / 90.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.10.2026
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Last 4 matches · latest first
- 15.10.2026 away Brighton & Hove Albion 0:4
- 11.08.2026 home GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1:2
- 04.08.2026 away GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0:5
- 29.07.2026 home KI Klaksvik 1:0
SK Brann
Last 4 matches · latest first
- 15.10.2026 home Lincoln Red Imps 2:1
- 11.08.2026 away Apollon Limassol 4:2
- 05.08.2026 home Apollon Limassol 0:1
- 30.07.2026 home FC Universitatea Cluj 3:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FK Kauno Zalgiris face SK Brann in the UEFA Conference League, with the visitors holding a slight edge based on their recent form. The contrast between the teams’ latest results is significant: FK Kauno Zalgiris have lost three of their last four matches, recording just one win and scoring only two goals while conceding eleven. Their recent defensive struggles and limited attacking output make it difficult to view the hosts as the stronger side heading into this fixture.
SK Brann arrive in better shape, having won three of their last four matches. They have scored nine goals and conceded five across that run, demonstrating greater attacking productivity and a more balanced overall record. That difference provides a solid basis for favouring the visitors, although playing away from home leaves room for uncertainty. FK Kauno Zalgiris will need to improve their defensive organisation and become more effective in front of goal to challenge their opponents consistently.
A medium-scoring contest appears a reasonable expectation, with the balance of recent performances pointing towards SK Brann avoiding defeat. A draw remains a credible possibility, particularly if FK Kauno Zalgiris can make better use of their home advantage. Both teams scoring is difficult to call, while a narrow away win or a shared result fits the overall picture.
What matters before kick-off
Kauno Žalgiris's first home European main-draw fixture
The match against Norwegian side SK Brann marks FK Kauno Žalgiris's first-ever home fixture in the main draw of a major UEFA European competition.
Opening matchday results for both clubs
On matchday one of the Conference League, Kauno Žalgiris suffered a 4-0 away defeat against Brighton, while SK Brann secured a 2-1 home victory over Lincoln Red Imps.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.