Match intelligence

FC Iberia 1999 — Mjallby AIF: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026

League: UEFA Conference League · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
FC Iberia 19991
:
1Mjallby AIF
Locked signal X2 Probability 66.4% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 33.6% Home win FC Iberia 1999
X 26.5% Draw
W2 40.0% Away win Mjallby AIF
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1273.5%
Both teams to score
Yes57.1%
Totals 2.5
Over52.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X60.0%
1273.5%
X266.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No57.1% / 42.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.2% / 6.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 77.3% / 22.7%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 52.8% / 47.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 30.6% / 69.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 15.1% / 84.9%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.4% / 93.6%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

FC Iberia 1999 × Mjallby AIF
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.8%
0:1 8.4%
0:2 6.6%
0:3 3.2%
0:4 1.2%
0:5 0.3%
1
1:0 7.5%
1:1 12.5%
1:2 8.7%
1:3 4.3%
1:4 1.6%
1:5 0.5%
2
2:0 5.4%
2:1 7.9%
2:2 5.8%
2:3 2.8%
2:4 1.0%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 2.4%
3:1 3.5%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 1.2%
3:4 0.5%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.8%
4:1 1.2%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.5%
1:28.7%
0:18.4%
2:17.9%
1:07.5%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 22.10.2026

FC Iberia 1999

Last 4 matches · latest first

  • 15.10.2026 away St. Truidense VV 0:2
  • 11.08.2026 home Larne FC 2:1
  • 04.08.2026 away Larne FC 0:0
  • 29.07.2026 away SK Slovan Bratislava 1:1

Mjallby AIF

Last 4 matches · latest first

  • 15.10.2026 home Inter Club de Escaldes 2:0
  • 11.08.2026 away SK Slovan Bratislava 0:2
  • 04.08.2026 home SK Slovan Bratislava 1:2
  • 28.07.2026 away Lincoln Red Imps 0:0

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 3.00 → now 2.80
W2 was 2.25 → now 2.38
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

FC Iberia 1999 face Mjallby AIF in the UEFA Conference League with a slight edge toward the visitors, although the overall balance suggests a competitive encounter. Both teams have shown similar attacking output in their latest four matches, scoring three goals apiece, while each has conceded four. This points to a contest in which neither side has demonstrated a clear advantage in front of goal or defensive consistency. FC Iberia 1999 will look to make home advantage count, but their recent results offer a mixed picture, with one win, two draws and one defeat.

Mjallby AIF have recorded one win, one draw and two defeats across the same period, so their recent form is not significantly stronger. Nevertheless, they enter this matchup with a narrow overall advantage in the expected balance of the contest. Their results suggest that a disciplined approach could help them compete effectively, though the defensive record indicates that opportunities may also be available to FC Iberia 1999. A medium-scoring match appears plausible, with the possibility of goals at both ends remaining uncertain. A draw is a credible outcome, but Mjallby AIF have a slight edge in a closely contested fixture where small differences in execution could prove decisive.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

League phase fixture

Swedish side Mjällby AIF visit FC Iberia 1999 in Tbilisi for matchday two of the UEFA Conference League league phase.

Match fact

First official meeting

FC Iberia 1999 and Mjällby AIF have no prior head-to-head history in official UEFA competitions.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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