Match intelligence

Inter Club de Escaldes — CS Universitatea Craiova: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026

League: UEFA Conference League · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Inter Club de Escaldes1
:
3CS Universitatea Craiova
Locked signal W2 Probability 65.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 12.4% Home win Inter Club de Escaldes
X 22.0% Draw
W2 65.6% Away win CS Universitatea Craiova
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X287.6%
Both teams to score
No50.1%
Totals 2.5
Over55.3%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X34.4%
1278.0%
X287.6%
Both teams to scoreYes/No49.9% / 50.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.3% / 6.7%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 79.6% / 20.4%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 55.3% / 44.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 33.0% / 67.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 16.8% / 83.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 7.4% / 92.6%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Inter Club de Escaldes × CS Universitatea Craiova
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.7%
0:1 10.3%
0:2 12.0%
0:3 8.3%
0:4 4.3%
0:5 1.8%
1
1:0 3.3%
1:1 10.5%
1:2 9.7%
1:3 6.8%
1:4 3.5%
1:5 1.5%
2
2:0 1.8%
2:1 3.8%
2:2 4.0%
2:3 2.8%
2:4 1.4%
2:5 0.6%
3
3:0 0.5%
3:1 1.0%
3:2 1.1%
3:3 0.7%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 0.1%
4:1 0.2%
4:2 0.2%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.0%
5:1 0.0%
5:2 0.0%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:212.0%
1:110.5%
0:110.3%
1:29.7%
0:38.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 22.10.2026

Inter Club de Escaldes

Last 3 matches · latest first

  • 15.10.2026 away Mjallby AIF 0:2
  • 13.08.2026 away Tallinna FC Flora 4:0
  • 06.08.2026 home Tallinna FC Flora 2:0

CS Universitatea Craiova

Last 4 matches · latest first

  • 15.10.2026 home Getafe CF 1:1
  • 13.08.2026 home Kuopion Palloseura 2:1
  • 06.08.2026 away Kuopion Palloseura 1:1
  • 29.07.2026 home PFC Levski Sofia 2:2

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 6.00 → now 7.00
X was 3.90 → now 4.10
W2 was 1.55 → now 1.48
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Inter Club de Escaldes face CS Universitatea Craiova in the UEFA Conference League with a slight edge for the visitors, although the overall assessment remains cautious. Inter Club de Escaldes have won two of their last three matches, scoring six goals and conceding just two. That record suggests they have shown both attacking effectiveness and defensive discipline recently, despite losing their latest match. Playing against an opponent with a more consistent recent unbeaten run will test their ability to maintain that balance.

CS Universitatea Craiova have recorded one win and three draws in their last four matches, remaining unbeaten across that sequence. They have also scored six goals, matching Inter Club de Escaldes' recent attacking output, but have conceded five, indicating some defensive vulnerability. Their ability to avoid defeat provides a degree of stability, though the number of draws makes their overall momentum less decisive than a run of victories would suggest. The visitors have a narrow advantage in the overall assessment, but the difference between the teams is not substantial enough to support a strong prediction.

A moderately scoring contest looks plausible, with the possibility of a competitive draw alongside a narrow away win. Inter Club de Escaldes have demonstrated the capacity to score consistently, while CS Universitatea Craiova's unbeaten run offers a reasonable basis for favouring them slightly.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Matchday 1 result for Inter Club d'Escaldes

On Matchday 1 of the UEFA Conference League phase on October 15, 2026, Inter Club d'Escaldes suffered a 2-0 defeat away against Swedish side Mjällby.

Schedule

Matchday 1 result for CS Universitatea Craiova

In their opening UEFA Conference League phase match on October 15, 2026, CS Universitatea Craiova drew 1-1 at home against Spanish side Getafe.

Match fact

Historical achievement for Inter Club d'Escaldes

Inter Club d'Escaldes became the first club from Andorra in history to qualify for the main phase of a major UEFA European competition.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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