Como 1907 — Manchester United: Win probabilities, 21.10.2026

Como 1907 face Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League in a contest that looks evenly balanced, although the hosts have shown the stronger recent form. Como 1907 have won three of their last five matches, drawing one and losing one, while scoring nine goals and conceding five. That record suggests a side capable of creating attacking opportunities while maintaining a reasonably solid defensive level. Their recent results provide a positive foundation, particularly against a Manchester United team that has struggled to turn matches into victories.

Manchester United have drawn four of their last five matches and lost the other, with no wins in that sequence. They have scored five goals and conceded six, indicating a less productive attack than their opponents over the same period. The frequency of draws suggests that Manchester United remain competitive but have found it difficult to establish clear control and secure wins. Como 1907 therefore have a slight advantage in terms of recent momentum, though the visitors cannot be discounted.

The overall outlook points towards an open match in which both teams have opportunities to score. Como 1907 appear better placed to take the initiative at home, while Manchester United may still find ways to threaten. A draw remains a credible outcome, but the hosts have a marginally stronger case in a potentially high-scoring encounter.