Club Brugge — Racing Club De Lens: Win probabilities, 21.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.6% |
| 12 | 78.1% | |
| X2 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.7% / 31.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.6% / 3.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.6% / 11.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.4% / 29.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.1% / 69.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.1% / 83.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 21.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.10.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 4:1
- 20.09.2026 home Genk 3:0
- 13.09.2026 home Antwerp 3:1
- 04.09.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0
- 30.08.2026 away Gent 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Troyes 3:1
- 09.10.2026 home Lyon 2:1
- 18.09.2026 away Monaco 1:2
- 13.09.2026 away Le Mans 2:2
- 05.09.2026 home Lorient 0:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.91 → now 1.80 |
| W2 | was 3.40 → now 3.80 |
Match preview
Club Brugge enter this UEFA Champions League fixture against Racing Club De Lens with a slight edge, supported by a stronger run of recent results. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only four. That combination points to a side performing well at both ends of the pitch, with their attacking output particularly encouraging. Racing Club De Lens have also shown they can score consistently, but their recent form has been less convincing, with two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five matches.
The difference in recent defensive performance could be important. Club Brugge have conceded four goals during that stretch, compared with seven for Racing Club De Lens, suggesting the visitors may face greater difficulty containing the hosts. However, Racing Club De Lens have scored eight goals in their last five matches, giving them a reasonable basis to threaten the home defence. Their attacking contribution makes a one-sided contest less likely, particularly if Club Brugge cannot maintain their recent defensive standards.
Overall, Club Brugge deserve a modest advantage, but the balance remains competitive rather than decisive. The recent scoring records of both teams support the possibility of an open match with chances at both ends. A draw remains a credible outcome, while a narrow home victory appears a reasonable overall reading of the contest.
What matters before kick-off
Champions League campaign so far
Both Club Brugge and RC Lens have accumulated three points from their opening two matches in the Champions League league phase. Club Brugge secured a 4-3 victory over Inter Milan in their previous European fixture, while Lens picked up a 3-2 win against Slavia Prague.
Defensive injury concerns for Lens
RC Lens defenders Jonathan Gradit and Mateusz Nawrocki are sidelined with injuries, while Ismaelou Ganiou and Ruben Aguilar remain doubtful ahead of the match.
High-scoring trend for Club Brugge
Club Brugge's last six UEFA Champions League fixtures have been highly entertaining, producing a total of 31 goals at an average of 5.17 per match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.