Real Betis Seville — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 21.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.8% |
| 12 | 78.1% | |
| X2 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.0% / 31.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.3% / 9.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.3% / 27.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.3% / 67.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 21.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Barcelona 2:5
- 11.10.2026 home Osasuna 5:2
- 20.09.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 17.09.2026 home Getafe 1:0
- 14.09.2026 away Villarreal 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Telstar 4:3
- 10.10.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 2:0
- 20.09.2026 home Utrecht 5:0
- 13.09.2026 away Zwolle 7:0
- 05.09.2026 away Nijmegen 3:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.53 → now 1.65 |
| X | was 4.50 → now 4.20 |
| W2 | was 5.25 → now 4.75 |
Match preview
Real Betis Seville enter this UEFA Champions League meeting with a moderate but clear advantage on home strength, although Feyenoord Rotterdam arrive in excellent form. Real Betis Seville have won three of their last five matches, drawing one and losing one, with 11 goals scored and nine conceded. Their recent results suggest an attacking side capable of creating opportunities, but the number of goals allowed also points to defensive vulnerabilities that could become important against a confident opponent.
Feyenoord Rotterdam have a stronger recent record, winning all five of their last five matches. They have scored 21 goals and conceded only four during that run, demonstrating both attacking productivity and defensive solidity. This form makes them a serious challenge despite the overall assessment favouring the hosts. The contrast between Real Betis Seville's less consistent defensive performances and Feyenoord Rotterdam's recent efficiency could shape an open contest, with both teams having reasons to believe they can score.
Real Betis Seville retain the advantage in the overall match outlook, particularly given the expectation that they can make their attacking quality count at home. However, Feyenoord Rotterdam's winning momentum makes a comfortable home victory less convincing. A competitive, high-scoring encounter appears plausible, with a narrow home win the leading scenario but a draw remaining a credible alternative.
What matters before kick-off
Cucho Hernandez injury for Real Betis
Real Betis forward Cucho Hernandez sustained a soleus muscle injury in his left leg during the match against FC Barcelona, ruling him out ahead of the Champions League tie with Feyenoord.
Previous Europa League encounter
The only prior official European meeting between Real Betis and Feyenoord came in the 2025/26 Europa League league phase, when the Spanish side claimed a 2-1 victory.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.