TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer Leverkusen: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

TSG Hoffenheim host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on October 25, with both teams bringing contrasting recent form into what looks like a competitive, potentially high-scoring encounter. Hoffenheim sit 14th in the table after six matches, having won two of their last five while scoring 9 goals and conceding 11. Their home record also suggests vulnerability, with one win and two defeats from three matches. Bayer Leverkusen arrive in stronger form, sitting fourth in the standings and remaining unbeaten across their last five matches, with four victories and 14 goals scored.

Despite Leverkusen's superior league position and recent results, the overall balance of this fixture remains relatively even. Their away performances have been less convincing than their broader form, with eight goals scored and eight conceded across three league trips. Both sides have also created and allowed chances at roughly similar levels in their respective home and away matches.

Goals at both ends look particularly plausible. Five of the last six meetings featured goals from both teams, although TSG Hoffenheim won the most recent encounter 1-0. A closely contested match with both teams scoring is the preferred outlook, with neither side holding a decisive advantage.