RB Leipzig — SV 07 Elversberg: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.1% |
| 12 | 83.7% | |
| X2 | 31.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.6% / 32.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.1% / 1.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 76.9% / 23.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 38.1% / 61.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 22.3% / 77.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
RB Leipzig
7th place · 9 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Bayern Munich 1:6
- 10.10.2026 home Ein Frankfurt 6:0
- 20.09.2026 away Leverkusen 0:2
- 13.09.2026 home Hamburg 5:0
- 05.09.2026 away Werder Bremen 1:3
SV 07 Elversberg
6th place · 10 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Augsburg 4:3
- 10.10.2026 away Union Berlin 0:1
- 20.09.2026 away Schalke 04 0:0
- 13.09.2026 home Bayern Munich 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away M'gladbach 4:3
This season: RB Leipzig at home vs SV 07 Elversberg away
| Metric | RB Leipzig · at home | SV 07 Elversberg · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–0 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 3.47 | 1.19 |
| xG against per match | 1.22 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per match | 9.00 | 4.33 |
| Corners per match | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 33% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| X | was 5.00 → now 5.50 |
| W2 | was 6.50 → now 6.00 |
Match preview
RB Leipzig enter this Bundesliga meeting with SV 07 Elversberg as the stronger side on balance, particularly given their outstanding home record. They have won all three home matches this season, scoring 14 goals without conceding. Their ability to create significantly more chances than they allow is another important advantage, suggesting they can control periods of the game and put sustained pressure on the visitors. However, their recent overall form has been less convincing, with three defeats in their last five matches, so maintaining consistency remains a key consideration.
SV 07 Elversberg arrive with a slightly better league position, sitting sixth with 10 points, one place and one point ahead of RB Leipzig. Their last five matches have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, with nine goals scored and nine conceded. Away from home, they have recorded one win, one draw and one loss, while both scoring and conceding four goals. This balanced away record suggests they can contribute offensively but may also struggle to contain a more productive opponent.
The main contrast is between RB Leipzig's strong home performances and SV 07 Elversberg's more evenly balanced results on the road. A high-scoring contest looks plausible, with both teams capable of finding opportunities. RB Leipzig hold a clear edge, although their inconsistent recent form means the visitors should not be dismissed.
What matters before kick-off
Bundesliga Matchday 7 fixture
RB Leipzig face Bundesliga newcomers SV 07 Elversberg at the Red Bull Arena on Matchday 7 of the 2026/27 Bundesliga season.
Elversberg's top-flight debut
SV 07 Elversberg secured promotion to the Bundesliga for the first time in the club's history ahead of the 2026/27 season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.