Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.5% |
| 12 | 81.7% | |
| X2 | 34.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.0% / 34.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.4% / 2.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.5% / 10.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.9% / 27.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.3% / 81.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Borussia Dortmund
2nd place · 14 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Union Berlin 0:0
- 09.10.2026 home Werder Bremen 2:2
- 19.09.2026 away Stuttgart 1:0
- 12.09.2026 home Paderborn 3:0
- 05.09.2026 away Hoffenheim 3:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
11th place · 8 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.10.2026 home FC Koln 1:0
- 10.10.2026 away RB Leipzig 0:6
- 19.09.2026 home Freiburg 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Mainz 3:1
- 06.09.2026 home Augsburg 1:4
This season: Borussia Dortmund at home vs Eintracht Frankfurt away
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund · at home | Eintracht Frankfurt · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 3.33 |
| xG for per match | 1.86 | 1.65 |
| xG against per match | 0.81 | 2.66 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.67 | 5.67 |
| Corners per match | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.05.2026 Borussia Dortmund 3:2 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 09.01.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 3:3 Borussia Dortmund
- 17.01.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 Borussia Dortmund
- 24.08.2024 Borussia Dortmund 2:0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 17.03.2024 Borussia Dortmund 3:1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 29.10.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt 3:3 Borussia Dortmund
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund enter this Bundesliga meeting with Eintracht Frankfurt in the stronger position, backed by consistent results and an effective home record. They have gone unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws while scoring nine goals and conceding four. Sitting second in the table with 14 points from six games, Borussia Dortmund have made a solid start to the season. Their home performances are particularly encouraging, with two wins and a draw from three matches, seven goals scored and only two conceded. They also create clearly more chances than they allow, suggesting a strong foundation for controlling the game.
Eintracht Frankfurt face a more difficult challenge. They occupy 11th place with eight points and have experienced mixed results in their last five matches, winning twice, drawing once and losing twice. Their defensive record is a concern, with 13 goals conceded during that spell. Away from home, they have scored six goals in three games but conceded ten, reflecting a tendency toward open and potentially high-scoring contests. Borussia Dortmund therefore have a clear advantage, although Eintracht Frankfurt possess enough attacking potential to remain a threat. The previous meeting ended 3-2 in Borussia Dortmund's favour, and the overall balance points toward another competitive encounter in which both teams could find the net.
What matters before kick-off
Borussia Dortmund team news
Borussia Dortmund head coach Niko Kovač confirmed ahead of the match against Eintracht Frankfurt that Kostas Karetsas remains sidelined with an injury.
Dortmund's midweek Champions League victory
Ahead of Saturday's Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund secured a 2-1 away victory against Azerbaijani side Sabah FC in Tuesday's UEFA Champions League match.
Dortmund's home record against Eintracht
Borussia Dortmund have won 14 of their last 15 home matches in the Bundesliga against Eintracht Frankfurt.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
