Samsunspor — Amed Sportif Faaliyetler: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.3% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 68.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.5% / 20.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Samsunspor
17th place · 4 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Kasimpasa 1:4
- 10.10.2026 home Trabzonspor 0:3
- 20.09.2026 away Erzurumspor 0:1
- 12.09.2026 home Corum 1:5
- 06.09.2026 away Kocaelispor 0:1
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler
2nd place · 17 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Konyaspor 1:0
- 10.10.2026 away Genclerbirligi 2:2
- 20.09.2026 home Besiktas 3:2
- 13.09.2026 home Buyuksehyr 5:0
- 06.09.2026 away Kasimpasa 2:2
This season: Samsunspor at home vs Amed Sportif Faaliyetler away
| Metric | Samsunspor · at home | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–3 | 0–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.53 | 1.29 |
| xG against per match | 1.80 | 0.94 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.25 | 3.33 |
| Corners per match | 5.50 | 6.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.30 → now 2.90 |
| W2 | was 2.05 → now 2.25 |
Match preview
Samsunspor face a difficult challenge against Amed Sportif Faaliyetler in the Super Lig, with the two sides arriving in contrasting form. Samsunspor have lost their last five matches, scoring only 2 goals while conceding 14. Their home record offers little reassurance, with no wins in four games and 13 goals conceded. Sitting 17th with 4 points after eight matches, the hosts need a stronger defensive performance and greater efficiency in front of goal to compete effectively.
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler come into this fixture in much better shape, having won three and drawn two of their last five matches. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 6 during that run, demonstrating a more productive attack and greater consistency. Their second-place position, with 17 points from eight matches, reinforces the contrast between the teams. However, their away record is less convincing, with two draws and one defeat in three games, alongside six goals conceded.
The overall balance suggests a competitive match in which Amed Sportif Faaliyetler hold the stronger recent form, while Samsunspor have the advantage of playing at home. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, making goals at either end a reasonable expectation. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler appear better placed to avoid defeat, although Samsunspor could remain competitive if they improve their defensive organisation and make better use of their scoring opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Samsunspor Team News
Samsunspor are missing injured players Celil Yüksel, Fatih Kaya, Emre Kılınç, and Jaures Assoumou ahead of the match.
Amed Sportif Injuries
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler will be without injured players Lumbardh Dellova and Yira Sor.
Recent Form and Standings
Samsunspor enter matchday 9 on a six-match league losing streak, sitting 17th with 4 points, while Amed Sportif hold 2nd place with 17 points.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.