Gaziantep FK — Erzurumspor FK: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Gaziantep FK have a slight edge at home against Erzurumspor FK, but their recent form makes this a difficult fixture to assess with confidence. Gaziantep FK have won just one of their last five matches, losing three and drawing one, while conceding nine goals and scoring five. They sit 14th in the Super Lig with eight points from eight games. Their home record is particularly concerning: they have yet to win in four matches, recording two draws and two defeats, with only two goals scored and six conceded. Their tendency to allow more chances than they create adds to the challenge.

Erzurumspor FK arrive in better recent form, with three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches. They have scored four goals and conceded three during that run, reflecting a more balanced defensive record. Although they occupy 11th place with 11 points, their away performances have also been unconvincing, with two draws and two losses in four games and just one goal scored. Both teams have struggled to create enough while remaining vulnerable defensively away from their strongest performances. Gaziantep FK can benefit from home advantage, but Erzurumspor FK's stronger recent results make a narrow contest likely. A draw remains a credible outcome, with a moderate expectation of a match featuring a limited number of goals.