Eyupspor — Kasimpasa Istanbul: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 43.6% |
| 12 | 74.9% | |
| X2 | 81.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.7% / 24.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.3% / 71.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.5% / 86.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.6% / 94.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Eyupspor
18th place · 3 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Erzurumspor 0:2
- 12.10.2026 home Goztep 0:4
- 20.09.2026 away Fenerbahce 0:8
- 12.09.2026 home Rizespor 0:2
- 06.09.2026 away Corum 0:3
Kasimpasa Istanbul
8th place · 13 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Samsunspor 4:1
- 09.10.2026 away Galatasaray 1:3
- 18.09.2026 home Konyaspor 0:0
- 13.09.2026 away Genclerbirligi 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Amedspor 2:2
This season: Eyupspor at home vs Kasimpasa Istanbul away
| Metric | Eyupspor · at home | Kasimpasa Istanbul · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–3 | 2–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.20 | 0.93 |
| xG against per match | 1.77 | 1.36 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 15.03.2026 Kasimpasa Istanbul 1:0 Eyupspor
- 20.10.2025 Eyupspor 2:0 Kasimpasa Istanbul
- 10.05.2025 Eyupspor 0:3 Kasimpasa Istanbul
- 13.12.2024 Kasimpasa Istanbul 2:0 Eyupspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 5.50 → now 4.75 |
| X | was 3.75 → now 3.60 |
| W2 | was 1.57 → now 1.70 |
Match preview
Eyupspor face a difficult challenge against Kasimpasa Istanbul, with the visitors holding a clear advantage on current form and league position. Eyupspor have lost their last five matches without scoring a goal, while conceding 19. Their struggles are reflected in their position at the bottom of the Super Lig, with just 3 points from eight games. At home, they have also found consistency difficult, losing three of their four matches and conceding eight goals. Their tendency to allow more chances than they create is a particular concern against an opponent with a stronger recent record.
Kasimpasa Istanbul have collected 13 points from eight matches and sit seventh in the table. Their last five outings have produced two wins, two draws and one defeat, alongside nine goals scored. Away from home, they have recorded two wins and a draw in four games, suggesting they have a reasonable platform to take control of this fixture. The recent head-to-head record also favours the visitors, who have won three of the four meetings, including a 1-0 victory in their latest encounter in 2026.
Kasimpasa Istanbul therefore enter this match as the stronger side, although the overall assessment remains moderate rather than decisive. A controlled away performance appears the more plausible scenario, with a medium-scoring contest a reasonable expectation.
What matters before kick-off
Super Lig Matchday 9 Fixture
Eyüpspor host Kasımpaşa in Matchday 9 of the Turkish Süper Lig on 24 October 2026 at the Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadium in Esenyurt.
Kasımpaşa's Recent Result
Kasımpaşa head into the match following a 4-1 home win against Samsunspor in their previous league fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.