Goztepe Izmir — Corum FK: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.5% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 56.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.3% / 38.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.2% / 5.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.4% / 18.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.9% / 64.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.9% / 81.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Goztepe Izmir
13th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Kocaelispor 2:1
- 12.10.2026 away Eyupspor 4:0
- 20.09.2026 home Rizespor 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Alanyaspor 2:2
- 07.09.2026 home Gaziantep 2:4
Corum FK
9th place · 13 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.10.2026 home Rizespor 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Gaziantep 3:0
- 19.09.2026 home Alanyaspor 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Samsunspor 5:1
- 06.09.2026 home Eyupspor 3:0
This season: Goztepe Izmir at home vs Corum FK away
| Metric | Goztepe Izmir · at home | Corum FK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–2 | 2–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| xG for per match | 2.58 | 1.40 |
| xG against per match | 1.19 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.67 | 5.25 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 75% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Goztepe Izmir come into this match with improved recent form, recording 2 wins and 2 draws across their last 5 matches while scoring 12 goals. Their home record is less convincing, however, with no wins from 3 league games at home and 7 goals conceded. Even so, their chance creation at home has been encouraging, as they have been creating clearly more opportunities than they allow.
Corum FK arrive in stronger overall form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches while scoring 14 goals and conceding only 4. They also sit 6th in the league compared with Goztepe Izmir in 13th. Their away results have been respectable, with 2 wins from 4 matches, although their underlying away performances have seen them allow clearly more chances than they create.
That contrast makes this a competitive contest. Goztepe Izmir have a slight edge overall, but Corum FK's recent results make them a significant threat. A medium-scoring match with both teams finding the net looks consistent with the balance between the sides.
What matters before kick-off
Goztepe win against Kocaelispor
Goztepe enter the match following a 2-1 away victory against Kocaelispor in the Super Lig on October 18, 2026. Novatus Miroshi scored the decisive second goal for the visitors.
Corum FK victory against Rizespor
Corum FK secured a 2-1 home victory over Caykur Rizespor in the Super Lig on October 16, 2026. Cengiz Under and Youssoufa Moukoko scored the goals for Corum FK.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.