Match intelligence

Konyaspor — Genclerbirligi SK: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

League: Super Lig (Turkey) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Konyaspor2
:
0Genclerbirligi SK
Locked signal 1X Probability 78.0% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 51.6% Home win Konyaspor
X 26.3% Draw
W2 22.0% Away win Genclerbirligi SK
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X78.0%
Both teams to score
Yes50.8%
Totals 2.5
Under51.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X78.0%
1273.7%
X248.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No50.8% / 49.2%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.8% / 8.2%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 74.0% / 26.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 48.1% / 51.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 26.3% / 73.7%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 12.2% / 87.8%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.9% / 95.1%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Konyaspor × Genclerbirligi SK
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.2%
0:1 6.5%
0:2 3.6%
0:3 1.2%
0:4 0.3%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 11.3%
1:1 12.5%
1:2 5.8%
1:3 1.9%
1:4 0.5%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 9.8%
2:1 9.6%
2:2 4.7%
2:3 1.5%
2:4 0.4%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 5.3%
3:1 5.2%
3:2 2.5%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.1%
4:1 2.1%
4:2 1.0%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.7%
5:1 0.7%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.5%
1:011.3%
2:09.8%
2:19.6%
0:08.2%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026

Konyaspor

16th place · 5 pts after 8

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.10.2026 away Amedspor 0:1
  • 11.10.2026 home Buyuksehyr 0:0
  • 18.09.2026 away Kasimpasa 0:0
  • 12.09.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:0
  • 05.09.2026 away Erzurumspor 0:1

Genclerbirligi SK

15th place · 8 pts after 8

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.10.2026 home Galatasaray 0:1
  • 10.10.2026 home Amedspor 2:2
  • 19.09.2026 away Buyuksehyr 0:4
  • 13.09.2026 home Kasimpasa 1:2
  • 06.09.2026 away Trabzonspor 0:5

This season: Konyaspor at home vs Genclerbirligi SK away

Metric Konyaspor · at home Genclerbirligi SK · away
Matches43
W–D–L1–1–21–0–2
Goals scored per match0.500.33
Goals conceded per match0.753.00
xG for per match0.730.96
xG against per match1.052.63
Shots on target per match2.752.67
Corners per match2.005.00
Over 2.5 goals25%67%
Both teams scored25%0%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Konyaspor wins2
Draws3
Genclerbirligi SK wins1
Goals per match1.50
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 19.03.2026 Konyaspor 1:0 Genclerbirligi SK
  • 26.10.2025 Genclerbirligi SK 1:2 Konyaspor
  • 03.02.2021 Konyaspor 0:0 Genclerbirligi SK
  • 19.09.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 0:0 Konyaspor
  • 14.06.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 2:1 Konyaspor
  • 02.11.2019 Konyaspor 1:1 Genclerbirligi SK

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Konyaspor have a slight edge over Genclerbirligi SK ahead of their Super Lig meeting, although their own form offers limited grounds for confidence. Konyaspor have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five matches, scoring just one goal and conceding two. They sit 16th with five points from eight games, highlighting the need to turn competitive performances into more consistent results. Their home record is also mixed, with one win, one draw and two losses in four matches. With chances created and allowed roughly level at home, Konyaspor may need greater efficiency in the final third to establish control.

Genclerbirligi SK arrive in weaker recent form, having lost four of their last five matches and drawn the other, while conceding 14 goals and scoring three. Their away performances have been particularly vulnerable, with nine goals conceded in three matches and a clear imbalance between chances allowed and created. Despite sitting one place above Konyaspor in the table with eight points, their defensive record makes this a challenging fixture. The previous meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Konyaspor, while three of the six head-to-head encounters finished level. Overall, Konyaspor hold a modest advantage, with a relatively controlled contest more plausible than an open, high-scoring game. A narrow home victory or a draw appears consistent with the balance of evidence.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Süper Lig matchday 9 fixture

Konyaspor hosts Genclerbirligi on October 25, 2026, at the Medas Konya Buyuksehir Stadium in the Turkish Super Lig.

Match fact

Genclerbirligi winless run

Genclerbirligi enters the match against Konyaspor having failed to win any of their last six league fixtures.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

Check current terms · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗

Other matches

→ Super Lig

OFFICIAL ODDMIND.APP TELEGRAM CHANNEL New predictions — automatically in Telegram Get new signals and full-analysis links as soon as they are published. Join the channel

How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

ONE PERSON. AN INDEPENDENT PROJECT.

One person behind the project. Your support makes a difference.

The project currently runs at a loss. A voluntary contribution helps with hosting, data and AI services.

Support the project
18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling

Finding oddmind.app useful?

One person keeps this project running, and it currently brings more expenses than income. If you would like to help, a small voluntary contribution makes a difference.

Support the project
Completely optional. You can keep using the site without donating.