Konyaspor — Genclerbirligi SK: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.0% |
| 12 | 73.7% | |
| X2 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.8% / 8.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.0% / 26.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.1% / 51.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.3% / 73.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Konyaspor
16th place · 5 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Amedspor 0:1
- 11.10.2026 home Buyuksehyr 0:0
- 18.09.2026 away Kasimpasa 0:0
- 12.09.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:0
- 05.09.2026 away Erzurumspor 0:1
Genclerbirligi SK
15th place · 8 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Galatasaray 0:1
- 10.10.2026 home Amedspor 2:2
- 19.09.2026 away Buyuksehyr 0:4
- 13.09.2026 home Kasimpasa 1:2
- 06.09.2026 away Trabzonspor 0:5
This season: Konyaspor at home vs Genclerbirligi SK away
| Metric | Konyaspor · at home | Genclerbirligi SK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–2 | 1–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.73 | 0.96 |
| xG against per match | 1.05 | 2.63 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.03.2026 Konyaspor 1:0 Genclerbirligi SK
- 26.10.2025 Genclerbirligi SK 1:2 Konyaspor
- 03.02.2021 Konyaspor 0:0 Genclerbirligi SK
- 19.09.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 0:0 Konyaspor
- 14.06.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 2:1 Konyaspor
- 02.11.2019 Konyaspor 1:1 Genclerbirligi SK
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Konyaspor have a slight edge over Genclerbirligi SK ahead of their Super Lig meeting, although their own form offers limited grounds for confidence. Konyaspor have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five matches, scoring just one goal and conceding two. They sit 16th with five points from eight games, highlighting the need to turn competitive performances into more consistent results. Their home record is also mixed, with one win, one draw and two losses in four matches. With chances created and allowed roughly level at home, Konyaspor may need greater efficiency in the final third to establish control.
Genclerbirligi SK arrive in weaker recent form, having lost four of their last five matches and drawn the other, while conceding 14 goals and scoring three. Their away performances have been particularly vulnerable, with nine goals conceded in three matches and a clear imbalance between chances allowed and created. Despite sitting one place above Konyaspor in the table with eight points, their defensive record makes this a challenging fixture. The previous meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Konyaspor, while three of the six head-to-head encounters finished level. Overall, Konyaspor hold a modest advantage, with a relatively controlled contest more plausible than an open, high-scoring game. A narrow home victory or a draw appears consistent with the balance of evidence.
What matters before kick-off
Süper Lig matchday 9 fixture
Konyaspor hosts Genclerbirligi on October 25, 2026, at the Medas Konya Buyuksehir Stadium in the Turkish Super Lig.
Genclerbirligi winless run
Genclerbirligi enters the match against Konyaspor having failed to win any of their last six league fixtures.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
