Caykur Rizespor — Trabzonspor: Win probabilities, 26.10.2026

Caykur Rizespor face a difficult test against Trabzonspor, whose recent form and stronger league position give the visitors a slight edge. Trabzonspor have won four of their last five matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding just one, while Caykur Rizespor have managed only one win in the same period, with five goals scored and eight conceded. The difference in recent consistency is notable, and Trabzonspor arrive with a much stronger overall defensive record. Caykur Rizespor sit 12th with 10 points from eight matches, compared with Trabzonspor in fourth on 16 points.

The home side's record at their own ground is a particular concern. Caykur Rizespor have lost all three home league matches this season, failing to score and conceding six goals. Trabzonspor have been less convincing away from home, recording one win, one draw and two defeats in four matches, so their advantage is not without limitations. Their away performances have also shown some vulnerability in chance prevention, which could give the hosts opportunities to contribute offensively.

The head-to-head record is evenly balanced, with three wins apiece across the last six meetings. However, Trabzonspor won the most recent encounter 1-0 in 2026. Overall, the visitors have the stronger current form, while Caykur Rizespor's home struggles make them difficult to back confidently. A competitive match with goals from both sides remains plausible, but Trabzonspor hold the clearer overall advantage.