Lincoln Red Imps — FC Twente Enschede: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 15.9% |
| 12 | 89.7% | |
| X2 | 94.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.6% / 53.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.8% / 2.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.3% / 11.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.6% / 28.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.5% / 68.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.1% / 82.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.10.2026
Lincoln Red Imps
Last 4 matches · latest first
- 15.10.2026 away SK Brann 1:2
- 13.08.2026 away AC Omonia Nicosia 0:1
- 06.08.2026 home AC Omonia Nicosia 1:1
- 28.07.2026 home Mjallby AIF 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Utrecht 1:2
- 10.10.2026 away For Sittard 1:1
- 20.09.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 3:2
- 12.09.2026 home Den Haag 2:0
- 09.09.2026 home Telstar 1:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 11.00 → now 13.00 |
| X | was 6.50 → now 7.50 |
| W2 | was 1.22 → now 1.17 |
Match preview
Lincoln Red Imps face a challenging test against FC Twente Enschede in the UEFA Conference League, with the visitors holding a clear advantage based on their recent form. Lincoln Red Imps have struggled to find consistency, recording two draws and two defeats in their last four matches without a win. Their attacking output has also been limited, with just two goals scored across that run, while they have conceded four. This combination of limited scoring and an inability to turn matches into victories leaves them with significant work to do against a more productive opponent.
FC Twente Enschede arrive with a stronger overall record, having won three of their last five matches, alongside one draw and one defeat. They have scored eight goals during that period, demonstrating greater attacking effectiveness, although conceding five suggests there may still be opportunities for their opponents. The contrast between the teams' recent results and scoring records points towards the visitors being better equipped to control the contest and create the more dangerous chances. A high-scoring match is a reasonable possibility given FC Twente Enschede's attacking output and defensive concessions, but Lincoln Red Imps' recent scoring difficulties make their contribution less predictable. Overall, FC Twente Enschede have a clear edge, while the hosts will need a substantial improvement in their attacking performance to challenge that advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Conference League opening matchday results
FC Twente opened their 2026/27 UEFA Conference League campaign with a 1-0 victory over Swiss club FC Thun on October 15, 2026, while Gibraltar's Lincoln Red Imps fell to a 2-1 defeat against SK Brann.
FC Twente unbeaten run ended
FC Twente suffered a 2-1 defeat at home to FC Utrecht in the Eredivisie on October 18, 2026, ending a nine-game unbeaten run across all competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
