Match intelligence

FK Borac Banja Luka — Kuopion Palloseura: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026

League: UEFA Conference League · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
FK Borac Banja Luka2
:
0Kuopion Palloseura
Locked signal W1 Probability 55.0% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 55.0% Home win FK Borac Banja Luka
X 24.1% Draw
W2 20.9% Away win Kuopion Palloseura
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X84.0%
Both teams to score
No51.8%
Totals 2.5
Over52.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X84.0%
1279.3%
X236.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No48.2% / 51.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 94.1% / 5.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 76.0% / 24.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 52.2% / 47.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 30.1% / 69.9%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 14.7% / 85.3%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.2% / 93.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

FK Borac Banja Luka × Kuopion Palloseura
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 5.9%
0:1 5.6%
0:2 2.2%
0:3 0.6%
0:4 0.1%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 12.5%
1:1 9.8%
1:2 4.3%
1:3 1.2%
1:4 0.3%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 11.7%
2:1 9.8%
2:2 4.1%
2:3 1.2%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 7.5%
3:1 6.3%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 0.7%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 3.6%
4:1 3.0%
4:2 1.3%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.4%
5:1 1.2%
5:2 0.5%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:012.5%
2:011.7%
1:19.8%
2:19.8%
3:07.5%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 22.10.2026

FK Borac Banja Luka

Last 4 matches · latest first

  • 15.10.2026 away Panathinaikos Athens 1:2
  • 13.08.2026 away Maxline Vitebsk 1:2
  • 06.08.2026 home Maxline Vitebsk 1:0
  • 30.07.2026 away Petrocub Hincesti 3:3

Kuopion Palloseura

Last 4 matches · latest first

  • 15.10.2026 home Trabzonspor 2:4
  • 13.08.2026 away CS Universitatea Craiova 1:2
  • 06.08.2026 home CS Universitatea Craiova 1:1
  • 28.07.2026 home Sabah Masazir 0:2

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 1.75 → now 1.53
X was 3.80 → now 4.33
W2 was 4.20 → now 5.50
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

FK Borac Banja Luka have a slight edge heading into their UEFA Conference League meeting with Kuopion Palloseura, with the hosts showing a somewhat stronger recent record. Their last four matches have produced one win, one draw and two defeats, alongside six goals scored and seven conceded. While these results do not indicate consistent form, they suggest FK Borac Banja Luka have maintained a reasonable attacking threat despite defensive vulnerabilities. Playing at home gives them a potential advantage in what looks likely to be a competitive encounter.

Kuopion Palloseura arrive with a more difficult recent sequence, recording one draw and three defeats in their last four matches. They have scored four goals and conceded nine, highlighting problems at both ends of the pitch, particularly in defence. This contrast provides the main reason to lean towards FK Borac Banja Luka, although the hosts' own defensive record leaves room for uncertainty. Neither side has demonstrated enough consistency to make a one-sided contest the clear expectation.

The overall outlook points towards a moderately scoring match, with FK Borac Banja Luka better placed to secure a positive result but a draw remaining a credible possibility. Kuopion Palloseura may find opportunities to score, yet their recent defensive difficulties could prove decisive. A narrow home win or a draw appears consistent with the balance of the available evidence.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Borac's opening matchday result

FK Borac Banja Luka opened their UEFA Conference League main stage campaign with a 2-1 away defeat against Panathinaikos, with Miloš Jojić scoring Borac's goal.

Team news

KuPS' recent form ahead of the fixture

Finnish side KuPS began their UEFA Conference League main stage campaign with a 4-2 defeat to Trabzonspor before recovering in domestic action with a 2-0 win over VPS.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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