Valencia CF — Villarreal CF: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Valencia CF face a difficult test against Villarreal CF in LaLiga, with the visitors holding a slight edge ahead of the meeting. Valencia CF have struggled to establish consistency, recording one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches. Their home form is a particular concern: they have yet to win in five league games at home, drawing twice and losing three times while scoring only two goals and conceding nine. That imbalance has left them 19th in the table after nine matches, increasing the importance of finding a more effective approach on their own ground.

Villarreal CF arrive in a somewhat stronger position, sitting 13th with nine points from nine matches. Their recent record includes two wins, one draw and two losses, with seven goals scored and five conceded. Away from home, they have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, scoring seven goals in five games. Their ability to create more chances than they allow contrasts with Valencia CF's difficulties in controlling matches at home. The recent head-to-head record also favours Villarreal CF, who have won three of the last six meetings, including a 2-1 victory in 2026. A competitive, medium-scoring contest is plausible, with both sides capable of scoring, but Villarreal CF appear better placed to avoid defeat.