Atletico Madrid — RC Deportivo de A Coruna: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Atletico Madrid head into their LaLiga meeting with RC Deportivo de A Coruna in considerably stronger form, making the hosts the clear favourites. Atletico Madrid have won all five of their latest matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 2. Their consistency is reflected in their second-place position, with 22 points from 9 games. At home, they have recorded 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 matches, scoring 10 goals. Their ability to create significantly more chances than they allow provides a solid foundation for another controlled performance.

RC Deportivo de A Coruna face a more difficult challenge after a run of five matches without a win, comprising 3 draws and 2 defeats. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7 during that period, highlighting their struggles to turn competitive performances into victories. Their away record offers some encouragement, with 1 win and 2 draws from 4 games, although conceding 7 goals on the road suggests that defensive stability could be tested.

The overall balance clearly favours Atletico Madrid, whose stronger recent results, attacking output and home performances give them a substantial advantage. A relatively high-scoring contest is a reasonable expectation, with the hosts well placed to control the game. Whether RC Deportivo de A Coruna can find the net remains uncertain, but Atletico Madrid have shown enough defensive discipline to make a home victory the most convincing overall reading.