Athletic Bilbao — Getafe CF: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

Athletic Bilbao enter this LaLiga meeting with a moderate but meaningful advantage over Getafe CF, particularly in terms of chance creation and the visitors’ away record. Athletic Bilbao have drawn four of their last five matches, losing once and scoring just two goals across that run. Their recent results point to a team struggling to turn performances into wins, although they remain capable of controlling the balance of play. Athletic Bilbao sit 11th with 10 points from nine matches, giving them a narrow lead over Getafe CF in the standings.

Getafe CF are 15th with nine points, but their away form is the more significant concern. They have lost all four away matches this season, conceding eight goals without scoring. They have also allowed clearly more chances than they create on the road, a weakness that could make it difficult to sustain pressure against Athletic Bilbao. The hosts have been more productive at home, with five goals in four matches, even if their record there has been mixed.

The head-to-head history offers some caution, with Athletic Bilbao winning two of the last six meetings and Getafe CF taking the most recent encounter 2-0 in 2026. Nevertheless, the current home-away contrast favours Athletic Bilbao. A relatively controlled, medium-scoring match appears the likeliest scenario, with a narrow home victory and a clean sheet plausible rather than assured.