Real Sociedad San Sebastian — Levante UD: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.9% |
| 12 | 80.9% | |
| X2 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.5% / 36.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.0% / 3.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.0% / 31.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.5% / 71.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.0% / 85.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Real Sociedad San Sebastian
5th place · 16 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Malaga 5:2
- 11.10.2026 home La Coruna 3:2
- 20.09.2026 away Valencia 3:2
- 13.09.2026 home Ath Madrid 0:3
- 07.09.2026 away Elche 3:2
Levante UD
14th place · 10 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 21.10.2026 home Ath Bilbao 3:1
- 16.10.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 12.10.2026 home Sevilla 3:3
- 20.09.2026 away Villarreal 1:3
- 13.09.2026 home Barcelona 2:4
This season: Real Sociedad San Sebastian at home vs Levante UD away
| Metric | Real Sociedad San Sebastian · at home | Levante UD · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–1 | 0–3–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 0.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| xG for per match | 1.09 | 0.77 |
| xG against per match | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 1.80 |
| Corners per match | 8.50 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.04.2026 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 2:0 Levante UD
- 20.12.2025 Levante UD 1:1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian
- 06.05.2022 Levante UD 2:1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian
- 28.08.2021 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 1:0 Levante UD
- 07.03.2021 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 1:0 Levante UD
- 19.12.2020 Levante UD 2:1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.60 → now 1.55 |
| X | was 4.50 → now 4.75 |
| W2 | was 4.75 → now 5.00 |
Match preview
Real Sociedad San Sebastian head into this LaLiga meeting with Levante UD in the stronger overall position, supported by a more consistent recent run and a higher place in the table. They have won four of their last five matches, scoring 14 goals in that sequence, and sit fifth with 16 points from nine games. Their attacking output suggests they can create problems for Levante, although conceding 11 goals across those five matches indicates that defensive control has not always matched their effectiveness going forward.
Levante UD arrive with a less convincing record, having managed one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five outings. Their away form is a particular concern: they have yet to win on the road this season, drawing three times and losing twice, while scoring only two goals in five away matches. They have also allowed more chances than they create away from home, which could give Real Sociedad San Sebastian opportunities to establish territorial control. The hosts, however, have not been entirely dominant at home, with two wins, one draw and one defeat in four games.
Overall, Real Sociedad San Sebastian hold a moderate edge, but Levante UD may still find opportunities to score. A competitive match with goals from both sides remains plausible, particularly if the hosts cannot tighten their defensive performance.
What matters before kick-off
Major European win
Heading into this LaLiga match, Real Sociedad secured a 6-0 victory against Lillestrøm in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday.
Jon Aramburu returns to squad
Real Sociedad defender Jon Aramburu returned to the squad for the match against Levante after recovering from a leg injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
