Sevilla FC — CA Osasuna: Win probabilities, 26.10.2026

Sevilla FC have a slight edge over CA Osasuna ahead of their LaLiga meeting, although their recent performances suggest this will be a competitive contest rather than a straightforward home fixture. Sevilla FC sit sixth with 14 points from nine matches, while CA Osasuna are ninth with 12 points from ten games. The hosts have won two of their last five matches, scoring seven goals but conceding ten, so their attacking output has not been matched by defensive reliability.

Home advantage offers Sevilla FC an opportunity to build on their stronger league position, but their record at home remains inconsistent. They have won two and lost two of their four home matches, conceding seven goals. CA Osasuna have also struggled for consistency, losing three of their last five games and conceding 12 goals during that period. Their away record is a particular concern, with 15 goals conceded across five matches, giving Sevilla FC a potential route to creating decisive opportunities.

The head-to-head record adds some caution to the home outlook: CA Osasuna won the most recent meeting 2-1, and Sevilla FC have managed only one victory across the last six encounters. A medium-scoring match looks plausible, with a narrow home win or a draw both credible outcomes. Sevilla FC hold the slight overall advantage, but defensive vulnerabilities on both sides leave the contest open.