RC Celta de Vigo — Real Betis Seville: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.9% |
| 12 | 71.2% | |
| X2 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.1% / 21.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.2% / 69.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.8% / 85.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
RC Celta de Vigo
8th place · 12 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Alaves 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Elche 0:0
- 19.09.2026 home Santander 5:0
- 13.09.2026 home Malaga 1:1
- 07.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
Real Betis Seville
4th place · 19 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Barcelona 2:5
- 11.10.2026 home Osasuna 5:2
- 20.09.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 17.09.2026 home Getafe 1:0
- 14.09.2026 away Villarreal 2:1
This season: RC Celta de Vigo at home vs Real Betis Seville away
| Metric | RC Celta de Vigo · at home | Real Betis Seville · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–2 | 2–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.13 | 1.74 |
| xG against per match | 1.48 | 1.97 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.20 | 6.25 |
| Corners per match | 2.60 | 4.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.03.2026 Real Betis Seville 1:1 RC Celta de Vigo
- 27.08.2025 RC Celta de Vigo 1:1 Real Betis Seville
- 08.02.2025 RC Celta de Vigo 3:2 Real Betis Seville
- 10.11.2024 Real Betis Seville 2:2 RC Celta de Vigo
- 12.04.2024 Real Betis Seville 2:1 RC Celta de Vigo
- 03.01.2024 RC Celta de Vigo 2:1 Real Betis Seville
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.20 → now 2.63 |
| X | was 3.40 → now 3.25 |
| W2 | was 2.20 → now 2.70 |
Match preview
RC Celta de Vigo face Real Betis Seville in LaLiga in a contest that looks evenly matched, although the visitors have a stronger league position and a slightly better recent record. RC Celta de Vigo have gone unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws while scoring nine goals and conceding three. Their defensive consistency is encouraging, but their home performances have been less convincing, with two wins, two draws and two defeats in six matches. They currently sit seventh with 12 points from 10 games.
Real Betis Seville arrive in fourth place with 19 points from nine matches, having won three of their last five games. Their attacking output has been stronger, with 11 goals scored in that period, although conceding nine suggests there may be opportunities for the hosts. Away from home, Real Betis Seville have collected two wins and a draw from four matches, but they have also allowed seven goals, highlighting some defensive vulnerability.
The recent head-to-head record points towards a competitive encounter: three of the last six meetings ended level, and both teams scored in every one. Their most recent meeting finished 1-1. With both sides capable of creating scoring opportunities, another open contest is plausible. RC Celta de Vigo's recent defensive solidity should keep them competitive, while Real Betis Seville's stronger league standing gives them a slight overall edge.
What matters before kick-off
European mid-week results ahead of the clash
Both teams enter this fixture following European victories in midweek: Celta Vigo defeated Celtic 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Betis earned a 1-0 win over Feyenoord in the UEFA Champions League.
Celta Vigo injury concerns
Celta Vigo enter the match with several key absentees through injury, including striker Borja Iglesias alongside Carl Starfelt, Álvaro Núñez, Miguel Román, and Jones El Abdellaoui.
Celta Vigo strong head-to-head record
Celta Vigo boast an impressive recent record in this fixture, having gone undefeated in 9 of their last 10 matches against Real Betis across all competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.