Racing Santander — Espanyol Barcelona: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.5% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.0% / 35.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.4% / 15.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.0% / 60.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.2% / 77.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.7% / 89.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Racing Santander
17th place · 8 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Osasuna 0:2
- 11.10.2026 home Valencia 2:2
- 19.09.2026 away Celta 0:5
- 16.09.2026 away Barcelona 2:7
- 12.09.2026 home Alaves 2:1
Espanyol Barcelona
16th place · 8 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Ath Madrid 0:1
- 09.10.2026 away Malaga 1:1
- 18.09.2026 home Elche 1:3
- 15.09.2026 away Vallecano 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Osasuna 2:0
This season: Racing Santander at home vs Espanyol Barcelona away
| Metric | Racing Santander · at home | Espanyol Barcelona · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–0 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.72 | 1.21 |
| xG against per match | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 3.75 |
| Corners per match | 5.75 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 10.02.2024 Racing Santander 2:0 Espanyol Barcelona
- 19.08.2023 Espanyol Barcelona 2:0 Racing Santander
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.35 → now 2.25 |
| W2 | was 2.88 → now 3.00 |
Match preview
Racing Santander face Espanyol Barcelona in LaLiga in a contest that looks closely balanced, with both sides showing similar recent form but contrasting defensive records. Each team has recorded one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. Racing Santander have scored six goals in that sequence but conceded 17, a worrying return that highlights their difficulties in containing opponents. Espanyol Barcelona have been more defensively solid, allowing seven goals while scoring five, giving the visitors a more stable platform despite their own inconsistent results.
The league standings offer little separation, with Espanyol Barcelona in 15th place and Racing Santander in 16th, both on eight points after nine matches. However, Racing Santander's home form provides a reason to expect a competitive performance. They remain unbeaten at home this season, recording two wins and two draws in four matches while scoring nine goals. Espanyol Barcelona have been less convincing away, with one win, one draw and two defeats, although their five goals scored and five conceded suggest a relatively balanced away record.
The overall picture points towards an open encounter in which both teams have opportunities to score. Racing Santander's home advantage could prove important, but Espanyol Barcelona's stronger recent defensive numbers make an outright home advantage difficult to establish. A draw remains a credible outcome, with neither side clearly stronger overall.
What matters before kick-off
Espanyol's recent result
Espanyol suffered a 1-0 home defeat against Atlético Madrid in La Liga on 17 October 2026 after conceding an 89th-minute goal to Álex Baena.
Racing Santander's previous fixture
Racing Santander entered round 10 of La Liga following a 2-0 defeat away to Osasuna in their match on 18 October 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.