Racing Club De Lens — Paris FC: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Racing Club De Lens face Paris FC in a Ligue 1 encounter that looks closely contested, with both sides showing enough attacking quality to make this an open match. Racing Club De Lens have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches, scoring eight goals and conceding seven. Their home performances offer encouragement: they have won two of three games on their own ground, scoring seven goals. They also create clearly more chances than they allow at home, suggesting they have the tools to put sustained pressure on the visitors.

Paris FC arrive with the stronger recent record, collecting three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches. They have scored nine goals in that period and sit third in the league with 14 points from seven games, compared with Racing Club De Lens in ninth place on 10 points. However, Paris FC have been less dominant away from home, recording one win, one draw and one defeat in three matches. The head-to-head record favours Racing Club De Lens, who have won all four previous meetings, including a 5-0 victory in the most recent encounter. Overall, the teams look evenly matched, and both have credible reasons to expect scoring opportunities.