Angers SCO — FC Lorient: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.8% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 68.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.8% / 8.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.7% / 24.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.7% / 50.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.8% / 72.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.2% / 86.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.4% / 94.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Angers SCO
15th place · 7 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Marseille 2:5
- 10.10.2026 away Brest 1:5
- 19.09.2026 home Troyes 2:0
- 12.09.2026 away Le Havre 0:0
- 06.09.2026 home Rennes 1:2
FC Lorient
8th place · 11 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Monaco 1:0
- 10.10.2026 home Paris FC 1:0
- 19.09.2026 away Le Mans 1:2
- 12.09.2026 home Toulouse 2:2
- 05.09.2026 away Lens 1:0
This season: Angers SCO at home vs FC Lorient away
| Metric | Angers SCO · at home | FC Lorient · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–3 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.25 | 0.67 |
| xG for per match | 2.03 | 1.28 |
| xG against per match | 1.63 | 1.07 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.02.2026 FC Lorient 2:0 Angers SCO
- 26.10.2025 Angers SCO 2:0 FC Lorient
- 05.02.2023 FC Lorient 0:0 Angers SCO
- 01.01.2023 Angers SCO 1:2 FC Lorient
- 16.01.2022 FC Lorient 0:0 Angers SCO
- 21.11.2021 Angers SCO 1:0 FC Lorient
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Angers SCO face FC Lorient in Ligue 1 in a contest that looks relatively balanced on the surface, although recent form gives the visitors reasons for greater confidence. Angers SCO have won just one of their last five matches, losing three and drawing one, while conceding 12 goals and scoring six. Their home record is also a concern, with three defeats in four matches on their own ground. Sitting 15th with seven points after seven games, they need a more consistent defensive performance to improve their position.
FC Lorient arrive in stronger form, having recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches. They have scored six goals and conceded four over that period, suggesting a more reliable balance between attack and defence. Their away record is less dominant, with one win, one draw and one loss in three matches, but they have conceded only twice on the road. Positioned seventh with 11 points, FC Lorient have shown greater consistency than their opponents.
The overall balance points towards a competitive match with a slight edge for FC Lorient. Angers SCO can make the contest difficult at home, particularly if they limit defensive errors, but their recent results offer little reassurance. A moderate scoring game appears plausible, with a draw or a narrow away victory both credible outcomes.
What matters before kick-off
Angers' difficult recent streak
Angers SCO enter their Ligue 1 fixture against FC Lorient following consecutive heavy defeats against Brest (5-1) and Marseille (5-2).
Strong defensive form for Lorient
FC Lorient enter this match having secured two consecutive 1-0 victories in Ligue 1 against Paris FC and Monaco.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
