AZ Alkmaar — FC Twente Enschede: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

AZ Alkmaar enter this Eredivisie meeting with a slight edge over FC Twente Enschede, supported by their strong home record and higher league position. They sit second with 20 points from nine matches, while FC Twente Enschede are fifth with 17 points. AZ Alkmaar have won three and drawn one of their four home games this season, scoring nine goals and conceding only three. Their ability to create clearly more chances than they allow at home gives them a solid foundation, although their recent form has been less consistent, with two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches.

FC Twente Enschede arrive in competitive form, having recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five games. They have scored eight goals and conceded five during that run, suggesting a balanced side capable of contributing to an open contest. Their away record is more mixed, with one win, two draws and one defeat, but seven goals scored in four away matches indicate a meaningful attacking threat. The head-to-head record is relatively close, with AZ Alkmaar winning three of the last six meetings and FC Twente Enschede taking two. Their most recent encounter ended 2-2 in 2026. Both teams have reasons to expect scoring opportunities, making an entertaining, high-scoring match plausible, with AZ Alkmaar holding a moderate advantage at home.