PSV Eindhoven — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

PSV Eindhoven enter this Eredivisie meeting with a slight edge at home, although Feyenoord Rotterdam arrive in stronger recent form. PSV have won three of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding seven, while their home record offers a more convincing foundation: three wins and one draw from four games, with 13 goals scored and four conceded. They have also demonstrated an ability to create clearly more chances than they allow on their own ground, which could be important against an opponent that prefers to play on the front foot.

Feyenoord Rotterdam, however, present a substantial challenge. They have won all five of their most recent matches, scoring 21 goals and conceding just four. Their away record is equally impressive, with five victories from five matches and 20 goals scored. They also lead the league with 23 points, four ahead of third-placed PSV Eindhoven. These figures suggest that the visitors have the momentum to test the hosts throughout the contest.

The head-to-head record provides a counterweight, with PSV Eindhoven unbeaten in their last six meetings against Feyenoord Rotterdam, including a 3-0 victory in 2026. Given both sides' attacking output and strong chance creation, an open match with goals at both ends looks plausible. PSV Eindhoven have a slight home advantage, but Feyenoord Rotterdam's current consistency makes this a closely contested fixture.