ADO Den Haag — SC Heerenveen: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 53.2% |
| 12 | 75.6% | |
| X2 | 71.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.8% / 30.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.2% / 30.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.7% / 71.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.2% / 84.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
ADO Den Haag
17th place · 6 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Telstar 2:2
- 19.09.2026 home Cambuur 1:1
- 12.09.2026 away Twente 0:2
- 06.09.2026 home For Sittard 2:3
SC Heerenveen
9th place · 12 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.10.2026 home Excelsior 4:0
- 09.10.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 0:2
- 19.09.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
- 13.09.2026 home Telstar 0:0
- 06.09.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 2:3
This season: ADO Den Haag at home vs SC Heerenveen away
| Metric | ADO Den Haag · at home | SC Heerenveen · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–2 | 1–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.23 | 1.52 |
| xG against per match | 1.32 | 1.49 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 6.75 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 06.03.2021 SC Heerenveen 3:0 ADO Den Haag
- 28.11.2020 ADO Den Haag 1:1 SC Heerenveen
- 22.02.2020 SC Heerenveen 2:2 ADO Den Haag
- 03.11.2019 ADO Den Haag 1:1 SC Heerenveen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.40 → now 3.25 |
Match preview
ADO Den Haag face SC Heerenveen in the Eredivisie with the visitors holding a slight edge based on their stronger overall position and recent attacking output. ADO Den Haag sit 17th after nine matches, with six points, and have managed just one win in their last five games. They have scored seven goals and conceded nine over that period, highlighting difficulties in maintaining defensive stability. Their home record offers limited reassurance: one win, one draw and two defeats in four matches, with nine goals conceded.
SC Heerenveen arrive in ninth place with 12 points from nine games. Their recent form has also been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five matches, but they have scored 10 goals while conceding only five. Away from home, they have recorded one win and two draws in four outings, scoring eight goals. That attacking productivity gives them a credible route to a positive result, although their away defensive record leaves room for ADO Den Haag to threaten.
The previous head-to-head meetings have often been competitive, with three draws in four encounters and both teams scoring in three of them. Overall, SC Heerenveen have the stronger case, but the advantage is moderate rather than decisive. With both sides capable of creating scoring opportunities, an open match featuring goals at both ends is a reasonable expectation.
What matters before kick-off
Eredivisie fixture
ADO Den Haag host SC Heerenveen on October 24, 2026, in round 10 of the Dutch Eredivisie.
ADO Den Haag recent result
Ahead of facing SC Heerenveen, ADO Den Haag secured a 2-1 home victory over PSV Eindhoven in their previous league match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.