Fortuna Sittard — Excelsior Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

Fortuna Sittard face Excelsior Rotterdam in an Eredivisie encounter that looks evenly matched, with both sides having reasons to expect opportunities in attack. Fortuna Sittard sit sixth with 15 points from nine matches, three points ahead of Excelsior Rotterdam, who occupy tenth place after ten games. The hosts have shown greater consistency recently, recording two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches. However, their home performances have been less convincing, with just one win in four games and nine goals conceded.

Excelsior Rotterdam arrive in poorer recent form, having lost three and drawn two of their last five matches without a victory. They have conceded 15 goals during that spell, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities that Fortuna Sittard could exploit. Nevertheless, Excelsior Rotterdam have been considerably more effective away from home this season, winning two and drawing three of their six away matches while scoring 11 goals. That record makes them a credible threat despite their recent struggles.

The head-to-head history also points towards a competitive contest: Fortuna Sittard have won three of the last six meetings, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent encounter in 2026. With both teams showing attacking potential and defensive weaknesses, goals at both ends look plausible. Fortuna Sittard have a slight advantage at home, but a draw remains a realistic outcome.