Falkirk FC — Kilmarnock FC: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Falkirk FC have a slight edge over Kilmarnock FC ahead of their Premiership meeting, with recent results suggesting a closely contested match that could produce goals at both ends. Both teams have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five matches, although Falkirk FC have scored seven goals compared with six for Kilmarnock FC. The hosts also sit slightly higher in the league table, occupying ninth place with 10 points, while Kilmarnock FC are 11th with nine points after 10 games. These differences give Falkirk FC a modest advantage, but neither side has established clear recent superiority.

Home advantage is an important consideration, though Falkirk FC have found it difficult to turn their home fixtures into consistent results. They have won just one of five matches at home, drawing one and losing three, with four goals scored and seven conceded. Kilmarnock FC have a similarly mixed away record, winning once, drawing twice and losing twice in five games. The historical matchup provides a stronger argument for the hosts: Falkirk FC have won all three recorded meetings, including a 5-1 victory in their most recent encounter in 2026. With both teams showing defensive vulnerability and their recent attacking returns remaining comparable, an open contest is plausible. Falkirk FC are better positioned to take the initiative, but Kilmarnock FC have enough scope to remain competitive.