Hibernian FC — Celtic Glasgow: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 39.6% |
| 12 | 79.2% | |
| X2 | 81.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.1% / 14.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.9% / 35.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.6% / 75.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Hibernian FC
12th place · 8 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Falkirk 1:2
- 10.10.2026 away Dundee United 0:1
- 19.09.2026 home Aberdeen 1:1
- 15.09.2026 home Kilmarnock 0:1
- 06.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:2
Celtic Glasgow
1st place · 25 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Hearts 7:1
- 11.10.2026 away Motherwell 2:0
- 20.09.2026 home Rangers 0:1
- 09.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:0
- 05.09.2026 away St Mirren 2:1
This season: Hibernian FC at home vs Celtic Glasgow away
| Metric | Hibernian FC · at home | Celtic Glasgow · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 0–2–4 | 4–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 0.40 |
| xG for per match | 1.54 | 3.41 |
| xG against per match | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.40 | 12.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.60 | 9.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.05.2026 Hibernian FC 1:2 Celtic Glasgow
- 22.02.2026 Celtic Glasgow 1:2 Hibernian FC
- 30.11.2025 Hibernian FC 1:2 Celtic Glasgow
- 27.09.2025 Celtic Glasgow 0:0 Hibernian FC
- 10.05.2025 Celtic Glasgow 3:1 Hibernian FC
- 22.02.2025 Hibernian FC 2:1 Celtic Glasgow
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 5.25 → now 4.75 |
| X | was 4.50 → now 4.33 |
| W2 | was 1.53 → now 1.60 |
Match preview
Hibernian FC face a difficult challenge against Celtic Glasgow in the Premiership, with the visitors holding a clear advantage in recent form and overall consistency. Hibernian FC have lost four of their last five matches, drawing once and scoring just three goals while conceding seven. Their home record offers little reassurance, with no wins in six league matches at home, alongside two draws and four defeats. Sitting 12th in the table after ten games, Hibernian FC need a significant improvement to compete with the league leaders.
Celtic Glasgow arrive in much stronger shape, having won four of their last five matches and scored 12 goals while conceding only three. Their away performances have been particularly convincing: four wins and one draw from five matches, with ten goals scored and just two conceded. They also create clearly more chances than they allow, suggesting their attacking pressure could expose Hibernian FC's defensive weaknesses. The visitors therefore hold a moderate but meaningful edge, although the hosts may still find opportunities to contribute offensively.
The recent head-to-head record supports the prospect of an open contest, with both teams scoring in five of the last six meetings. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Celtic Glasgow, reinforcing the visitors' advantage. A competitive match with goals from both sides is a reasonable expectation, while Celtic Glasgow appear better positioned to secure the result.
What matters before kick-off
Celtic's recent fixtures
Celtic enter the Scottish Premiership fixture following a 2-1 home loss to Celta Vigo in the Europa League, though they defeated Hearts 7-1 in their previous league match.
Hibernian team news
Hibernian face several squad absences ahead of the match, with Rocky Bushiri, Jordan Obita, Callum Wright, Nathan Lowe, and Kanayo Megwa sidelined through injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
