Dundee United — Aberdeen FC: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.6% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.3% / 39.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.4% / 18.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Dundee United
7th place · 12 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away St Johnstone 1:1
- 10.10.2026 home Hibernian 1:0
- 19.09.2026 away St Mirren 3:0
- 05.09.2026 home Falkirk 1:1
- 02.09.2026 away Motherwell 0:3
Aberdeen FC
6th place · 12 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home St Mirren 3:1
- 11.10.2026 home St Johnstone 0:1
- 19.09.2026 away Hibernian 1:1
- 15.09.2026 away Motherwell 4:0
- 05.09.2026 home Kilmarnock 0:0
This season: Dundee United at home vs Aberdeen FC away
| Metric | Dundee United · at home | Aberdeen FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 1–2–1 | 1–2–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xG for per match | 1.71 | 0.77 |
| xG against per match | 1.19 | 1.72 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.25 | 2.75 |
| Corners per match | 8.25 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 20% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.05.2026 Aberdeen FC 2:0 Dundee United
- 24.02.2026 Dundee United 0:0 Aberdeen FC
- 27.12.2025 Aberdeen FC 1:1 Dundee United
- 23.09.2025 Dundee United 2:0 Aberdeen FC
- 17.05.2025 Dundee United 2:1 Aberdeen FC
- 02.03.2025 Aberdeen FC 2:2 Dundee United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Dundee United welcome Aberdeen FC with a slight home edge, although the overall balance remains fairly close. Dundee United sit seventh in the Premiership with 12 points from nine matches, while Aberdeen FC are sixth with the same points total from ten games. Recent form is also balanced: Dundee United have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five, while Aberdeen FC have the same win-draw-loss record.
The clearest contrast comes from the chance profiles. Dundee United have created clearly more chances than they have allowed at home this season, even though their record there is modest at one win, two draws and one defeat. Aberdeen FC, by comparison, have allowed clearly more chances than they have created away from home, with one win, two draws and two defeats. That gives the hosts a credible platform, but Aberdeen FC have scored eight goals in their last five matches and may still threaten. The previous meeting finished 2-0 to Aberdeen FC, yet the broader head-to-head record includes three draws in six meetings. A medium-scoring contest with both teams capable of finding the net looks the most plausible overall reading.
What matters before kick-off
Premiership Fixture at Tannadice
Dundee United host Aberdeen at Tannadice Park on Saturday, 24 October 2026, in the William Hill Premiership.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.