Glasgow Rangers — St. Johnstone FC: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.0% |
| 12 | 88.2% | |
| X2 | 19.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.3% / 2.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.0% / 16.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.1% / 34.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.2% / 56.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.7% / 75.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.4% / 87.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Glasgow Rangers
2nd place · 21 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Dundee 2:2
- 10.10.2026 home Kilmarnock 3:1
- 20.09.2026 away Celtic 1:0
- 09.09.2026 home St Mirren 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home Motherwell 1:0
St. Johnstone FC
5th place · 13 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Dundee United 1:1
- 11.10.2026 away Aberdeen 1:0
- 19.09.2026 home Falkirk 1:1
- 09.09.2026 home Celtic 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Hibernian 2:1
This season: Glasgow Rangers at home vs St. Johnstone FC away
| Metric | Glasgow Rangers · at home | St. Johnstone FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 3–1–1 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.20 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.39 | 1.12 |
| xG against per match | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.50 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 8.25 | 3.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.01.2025 Glasgow Rangers 3:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 01.12.2024 St. Johnstone FC 0:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 06.10.2024 Glasgow Rangers 2:0 St. Johnstone FC
- 18.02.2024 St. Johnstone FC 0:3 Glasgow Rangers
- 20.12.2023 Glasgow Rangers 2:0 St. Johnstone FC
- 16.09.2023 St. Johnstone FC 0:2 Glasgow Rangers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W2 | was 9.50 → now 10.00 |
Match preview
Glasgow Rangers come into this Premiership meeting in strong form, with four wins and one draw from their last five matches. They sit second in the 12-team league with 21 points from 10 games, while St. Johnstone FC are fifth with 13 points. The hosts have also been difficult to contain at home, where they have taken three wins from five matches and created clearly more chances than they allow.
St. Johnstone FC have had a mixed recent run, recording two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five. Their away record is less convincing, with one win, one draw and two losses, alongside a chance profile that shows them allowing clearly more opportunities than they create. The head-to-head record is especially one-sided: Glasgow Rangers have won all six listed meetings, including a 3-1 victory in the last encounter in 2025. The overall balance gives Glasgow Rangers a clear advantage, with an open game possible and the chance of both teams scoring less certain.
What matters before kick-off
Sickness bug at Rangers
Rangers manager Derek McInnes confirmed ahead of the match that a sickness bug affected around half a dozen players in the squad.
Rangers line-up change against St. Johnstone
Derek McInnes named a single change to the Rangers line-up from their previous match against Dundee, with Kevin Kelsy starting in place of Djeidi Gassama.
Rangers winning streak ended
In their previous Premiership outing, Rangers drew 2-2 against Dundee, ending a seven-game winning streak across all competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.