CA Central Cordoba SE — Velez Sarsfield: Win probabilities, 26.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.6% |
| 12 | 72.5% | |
| X2 | 76.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.3% / 25.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.3% / 73.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.10.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:2
- 10.10.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 2:2
- 05.10.2026 away Dep. Riestra 1:1
- 18.09.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
- 12.10.2026 away Lanus 0:2
- 05.10.2026 home Platense 2:2
- 21.09.2026 home Tigre 3:2
- 11.09.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:1
This season: CA Central Cordoba SE at home vs Velez Sarsfield away
| Metric | CA Central Cordoba SE · at home | Velez Sarsfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 5–3–6 | 4–8–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 64% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.04.2026 Velez Sarsfield 1:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 29.07.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:2 Velez Sarsfield
- 22.03.2023 Velez Sarsfield 4:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 25.10.2022 Velez Sarsfield 3:1 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 20.04.2022 Velez Sarsfield 1:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 20.10.2021 CA Central Cordoba SE 1:2 Velez Sarsfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 4.75 → now 4.00 |
| W2 | was 1.80 → now 1.95 |
Match preview
CA Central Cordoba SE face a difficult test against Velez Sarsfield in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the visitors holding a slight edge. The hosts have struggled to find consistency in their recent matches, recording three draws and two defeats without a win in their last five outings. They have scored seven goals but conceded ten over that period, highlighting some defensive vulnerability. Their home record also offers limited reassurance, with five wins, three draws and six losses across fourteen matches this season.
Velez Sarsfield arrive in comparatively steadier form, having collected two wins and two draws in their last five matches. Their away performances are particularly encouraging, with four wins and eight draws from fourteen games on the road, alongside only two defeats. That ability to avoid losses away from home could prove important against a CA Central Cordoba SE side that has found victories difficult to secure. The head-to-head record further favours Velez Sarsfield, who have won five of the six meetings, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent encounter in 2026.
The overall outlook points towards a competitive match with a moderate scoring level. A draw remains plausible, but Velez Sarsfield appear better positioned to avoid defeat, with a narrow away win also a reasonable possibility.
What matters before kick-off
Recent Match Results
CA Central Córdoba enter round 14 of the Torneo Clausura 2026 following a 2-1 defeat against Newell's Old Boys, whereas Vélez Sarsfield secured a 1-0 victory over Gimnasia de Mendoza in their previous fixture.
Match Officials and Venue
The fixture takes place at the Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero. Pablo Echavarría has been appointed as the main referee, with José Carreras in charge of VAR.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.