Instituto AC Cordoba — Deportivo Riestra AFBC: Win probabilities, 27.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.3% |
| 12 | 70.8% | |
| X2 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 41.2% / 58.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.6% / 12.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 65.6% / 34.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 37.5% / 62.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 17.9% / 82.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.2% / 92.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.5% / 97.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 27.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.10.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:0
- 09.10.2026 home Boca Juniors 2:2
- 02.10.2026 away Independiente 4:1
- 20.09.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 3:1
- 15.09.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.10.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:1
- 11.10.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
- 05.10.2026 home Central Cordoba 1:1
- 19.09.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:0
- 14.09.2026 home Lanus 0:3
This season: Instituto AC Cordoba at home vs Deportivo Riestra AFBC away
| Metric | Instituto AC Cordoba · at home | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 9–2–3 | 0–6–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.57 | 0.21 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 7% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 21% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
- 11.04.2026 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:1 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 20.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 13.04.2025 Instituto AC Cordoba 3:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 01.12.2024 Instituto AC Cordoba 2:1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 25.01.2024 Instituto AC Cordoba 0:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Instituto AC Cordoba enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a clear advantage in recent form and home performance, although a low-scoring contest remains the most plausible scenario. They have won four of their last five matches, drawing the other, and scored 12 goals while conceding five. Their record at home is also encouraging, with nine wins from 14 matches this season. These results point to a side with a solid foundation and the capacity to control the match, particularly on familiar ground.
Deportivo Riestra AFBC face a more difficult task. They have gone five recent matches without a win, recording three draws and two defeats while scoring only twice. Their away record is an even greater concern: 14 matches have brought no wins, six draws and eight losses, with just three goals scored. That limited attacking output could make it difficult to take advantage of any opportunities against the hosts. The previous meeting in 2026 ended in a 1-0 victory for Instituto AC Cordoba, offering further support for the home side's position.
Overall, Instituto AC Cordoba hold a clear edge, though the likely balance of play suggests a restrained encounter rather than an open exchange. A narrow home victory or a draw appears more consistent with the available evidence than a high-scoring result.
What matters before kick-off
Deportivo Riestra draw prior to Instituto match
In Round 13 of Torneo Clausura 2026, Deportivo Riestra played out a 1-1 draw against Unión de Santa Fe, with Emiliano Randazzo scoring for Riestra.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.