CA Barracas Central — Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: Win probabilities, 26.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.7% |
| 12 | 70.2% | |
| X2 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.5% / 62.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.1% / 13.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 62.8% / 37.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 34.4% / 65.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 15.7% / 84.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.0% / 94.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.9% / 98.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.10.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 1:1
- 10.10.2026 home Huracan 2:0
- 03.10.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 3:2
- 21.09.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:1
- 14.09.2026 away Banfield 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Aldosivi 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away River Plate 0:1
- 05.10.2026 home Racing Club 1:2
- 20.09.2026 away Belgrano 1:2
- 15.09.2026 away Instituto 1:2
This season: CA Barracas Central at home vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto away
| Metric | CA Barracas Central · at home | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 5–3–6 | 0–2–12 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.93 | 0.36 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.86 | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 36% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 12.04.2026 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:2 CA Barracas Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.62 → now 1.75 |
| X | was 3.40 → now 3.10 |
| W2 | was 7.00 → now 5.75 |
Match preview
CA Barracas Central enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture as the stronger side on balance, with Estudiantes Rio Cuarto facing a difficult challenge away from home. The hosts have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding five. Their recent form suggests a reasonably stable foundation, although their home record this season has been less convincing, with five wins, three draws and six losses in 14 matches. That inconsistency means CA Barracas Central will need to make effective use of home advantage rather than rely on it alone.
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto arrive with a more concerning record. They have lost four of their last five matches, conceding eight goals while scoring five, and their away performances have been particularly weak. In 14 away games this season, they have yet to win, drawing twice and losing 12 times, with 25 goals conceded. The previous meeting also favoured CA Barracas Central, who won 2-1 in 2026. Overall, the hosts are clearly stronger, with moderate confidence in that assessment. A low-scoring contest looks plausible, and CA Barracas Central have a reasonable opportunity to control the game. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto will need a substantial improvement defensively to disrupt that pattern, making a narrow home victory a credible outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Recent Results
In the previous round, Barracas Central drew 1-1 away against Sarmiento, while Estudiantes Rio Cuarto secured a 2-1 home victory against Aldosivi.
Head-to-Head History
This will be only the third official competitive match between the two clubs, with Barracas Central having won one of the previous two meetings alongside one draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.