Match intelligence

CA Aldosivi — CA Belgrano de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
CA Aldosivi1
:
0CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Locked signal X2 Probability 75.5% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 24.5% Home win CA Aldosivi
X 28.5% Draw
W2 47.0% Away win CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X275.5%
Both teams to score
Yes52.1%
Totals 2.5
Under52.6%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X53.0%
1271.5%
X275.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No52.1% / 47.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 90.9% / 9.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 74.1% / 25.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 47.4% / 52.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 25.7% / 74.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 11.8% / 88.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.7% / 95.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Aldosivi × CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 9.1%
0:1 10.3%
0:2 8.9%
0:3 4.5%
0:4 1.7%
0:5 0.5%
1
1:0 6.6%
1:1 13.6%
1:2 9.3%
1:3 4.7%
1:4 1.8%
1:5 0.6%
2
2:0 4.2%
2:1 6.4%
2:2 4.9%
2:3 2.5%
2:4 0.9%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 1.5%
3:1 2.2%
3:2 1.7%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.4%
4:1 0.6%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.6%
0:110.3%
1:29.3%
0:09.1%
0:28.9%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 18.10.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:2
  • 09.10.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 1:3
  • 04.10.2026 away Huracan 0:1
  • 21.09.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 1:0
  • 12.09.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 3:4

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 19.10.2026 home River Plate 0:3
  • 11.10.2026 away Racing Club 2:0
  • 04.10.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 1:0
  • 20.09.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
  • 13.09.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 1:1

This season: CA Aldosivi at home vs CA Belgrano de Cordoba away

Metric CA Aldosivi · at home CA Belgrano de Cordoba · away
Matches1417
W–D–L2–8–48–7–2
Goals scored per match0.711.00
Goals conceded per match1.000.71
Over 2.5 goals29%24%
Both teams scored50%35%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Aldosivi wins2
Draws2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba wins2
Goals per match1.00
Both teams scored0/6
Over 2.5 goals0/6
  • 11.04.2026 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:0 CA Aldosivi
  • 15.08.2025 CA Aldosivi 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 12.02.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2:0 CA Aldosivi
  • 24.09.2018 CA Aldosivi 2:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 15.10.2016 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:0 CA Aldosivi
  • 16.03.2015 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:1 CA Aldosivi

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 4.10 → now 3.80
X was 3.20 → now 3.30
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Aldosivi face a challenging test against CA Belgrano de Cordoba in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the visitors holding a slight edge. The recent form of the two sides points in different directions: CA Aldosivi have lost four of their last five matches, recording just one win and conceding 10 goals while scoring six. By contrast, CA Belgrano de Cordoba have won three of their last five, with one draw and one defeat. Their six goals scored and five conceded over that spell reflect a more balanced and reliable run of performances.

The home side's record at home is another concern. Across 14 matches this season, CA Aldosivi have managed only two wins, alongside eight draws and four losses. CA Belgrano de Cordoba have been considerably more effective away from home, winning eight of 17 matches and losing only twice. They have also scored 17 goals and conceded 12 on their travels, suggesting they can remain competitive even without dominating games. The head-to-head record is evenly split across six meetings, with two wins apiece and two draws, although CA Belgrano de Cordoba won the latest encounter 1-0 in 2026. Overall, the visitors look better positioned to avoid defeat, while a moderate-scoring contest appears the most plausible scenario.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Fixture at Estadio José María Minella

CA Aldosivi host CA Belgrano de Córdoba in round 14 of Zone B in the 2026 Argentine Torneo Clausura at the Estadio José María Minella in Mar del Plata.

Schedule

Recent team results

In their previous league outings, CA Aldosivi suffered a 2-1 away defeat against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, while CA Belgrano fell 3-0 at home to River Plate.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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