CA San Lorenzo de Almagro — Newell's Old Boys: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro face Newell's Old Boys in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the teams appearing evenly matched and a low-scoring contest the most plausible overall scenario. The hosts have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding seven. Their recent results suggest some inconsistency, while the defensive record highlights the challenge of maintaining control throughout the game. At home this season, CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have won seven of 14 matches, drawn two and lost five, providing a mixed but reasonably competitive foundation for this fixture.

Newell's Old Boys arrive with a slightly steadier recent record, having won twice, drawn twice and lost once in their last five games. They have also conceded only three goals across that sequence, compared with seven for CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, which gives the visitors a modest defensive advantage. However, their away record is less convincing: three wins, four draws and seven defeats in 14 matches, with 22 goals conceded. The head-to-head history adds another layer of caution, as four of the last six meetings ended level, including a goalless draw in 2026. Overall, neither side has a decisive advantage. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro can draw encouragement from playing at home, but Newell's Old Boys have shown greater recent defensive solidity, making a tight encounter and a draw credible possibilities.