CA Talleres de Cordoba — Defensa y Justicia: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.1% |
| 12 | 70.6% | |
| X2 | 58.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.1% / 24.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.3% / 51.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.4% / 87.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:2
- 12.10.2026 home Independiente 0:0
- 04.10.2026 home Belgrano 0:1
- 20.09.2026 away Instituto 1:3
- 13.09.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.10.2026 home Instituto 0:1
- 10.10.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:0
- 03.10.2026 home San Lorenzo 3:0
- 18.09.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:2
- 11.09.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 2:0
This season: CA Talleres de Cordoba at home vs Defensa y Justicia away
| Metric | CA Talleres de Cordoba · at home | Defensa y Justicia · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 5–4–6 | 5–4–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.93 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.07 | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 13.04.2026 Defensa y Justicia 1:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 24.07.2024 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:1 Defensa y Justicia
- 11.03.2023 Defensa y Justicia 1:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 12.09.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:0 Defensa y Justicia
- 09.04.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:5 Defensa y Justicia
- 04.10.2021 Defensa y Justicia 3:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W2 | was 3.40 → now 3.25 |
Match preview
CA Talleres de Cordoba enter their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting with Defensa y Justicia with a slight home advantage, although recent form suggests that the visitors may pose a significant challenge. The hosts have won just one of their last five matches, drawing one and losing three, while scoring four goals and conceding seven. Their home record this season has also been inconsistent, with five wins, four draws and six defeats in fifteen matches. These figures suggest that CA Talleres de Cordoba will need greater defensive stability to make the most of their home advantage.
Defensa y Justicia arrive in stronger recent form, having recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five games. They have scored nine goals and conceded only three during that run, demonstrating a more convincing balance between attacking production and defensive organisation. Their away record is relatively even, with five wins, four draws and five defeats in fourteen matches. However, the previous meeting offers encouragement for the hosts, who won 2-1 away against Defensa y Justicia in 2026. The six-match head-to-head record is evenly divided, with two wins for each side and two draws. Overall, CA Talleres de Cordoba hold a slight edge, but Defensa y Justicia's superior recent performances make a closely contested match likely, with a moderate scoring level and no clear expectation that either team will dominate.
What matters before kick-off
Talleres squad updates ahead of the match
Talleres midfielder Matías Gómez has returned to light pitch work, Thiago Baroni is undergoing restricted contact training due to a nasal septum fracture, while Franco Cristaldo remains in physiotherapy recovering from a hamstring injury.
Recent Clausura match results for both sides
In the previous round of the 2026 Argentine Clausura, Talleres de Córdoba suffered a 1-2 defeat to Boca Juniors, whereas Defensa y Justicia fell 0-1 at home against Instituto.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
