Match intelligence

CA Talleres de Cordoba — Defensa y Justicia: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
CA Talleres de Cordoba1
:
2Defensa y Justicia
Locked signal 1X Probability 71.1% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 41.6% Home win CA Talleres de Cordoba
X 29.4% Draw
W2 28.9% Away win Defensa y Justicia
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X71.1%
Both teams to score
Yes54.2%
Totals 2.5
Under51.7%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X71.1%
1270.6%
X258.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No54.2% / 45.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 90.9% / 9.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 75.1% / 24.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 48.3% / 51.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 26.6% / 73.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 12.4% / 87.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.0% / 95.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Talleres de Cordoba × Defensa y Justicia
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 9.1%
0:1 6.9%
0:2 5.0%
0:3 2.0%
0:4 0.6%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 8.9%
1:1 14.1%
1:2 7.2%
1:3 2.8%
1:4 0.8%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 7.6%
2:1 8.9%
2:2 5.2%
2:3 2.0%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 3.7%
3:1 4.3%
3:2 2.5%
3:3 1.0%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.3%
4:1 1.5%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.4%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.1%
0:09.1%
1:08.9%
2:18.9%
2:07.6%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.10.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:2
  • 12.10.2026 home Independiente 0:0
  • 04.10.2026 home Belgrano 0:1
  • 20.09.2026 away Instituto 1:3
  • 13.09.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.10.2026 home Instituto 0:1
  • 10.10.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:0
  • 03.10.2026 home San Lorenzo 3:0
  • 18.09.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:2
  • 11.09.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 2:0

This season: CA Talleres de Cordoba at home vs Defensa y Justicia away

Metric CA Talleres de Cordoba · at home Defensa y Justicia · away
Matches1514
W–D–L5–4–65–4–5
Goals scored per match0.931.29
Goals conceded per match1.071.36
Over 2.5 goals47%50%
Both teams scored40%50%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Talleres de Cordoba wins2
Draws2
Defensa y Justicia wins2
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
  • 13.04.2026 Defensa y Justicia 1:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 24.07.2024 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:1 Defensa y Justicia
  • 11.03.2023 Defensa y Justicia 1:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 12.09.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:0 Defensa y Justicia
  • 09.04.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:5 Defensa y Justicia
  • 04.10.2021 Defensa y Justicia 3:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W2 was 3.40 → now 3.25
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Talleres de Cordoba enter their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting with Defensa y Justicia with a slight home advantage, although recent form suggests that the visitors may pose a significant challenge. The hosts have won just one of their last five matches, drawing one and losing three, while scoring four goals and conceding seven. Their home record this season has also been inconsistent, with five wins, four draws and six defeats in fifteen matches. These figures suggest that CA Talleres de Cordoba will need greater defensive stability to make the most of their home advantage.

Defensa y Justicia arrive in stronger recent form, having recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five games. They have scored nine goals and conceded only three during that run, demonstrating a more convincing balance between attacking production and defensive organisation. Their away record is relatively even, with five wins, four draws and five defeats in fourteen matches. However, the previous meeting offers encouragement for the hosts, who won 2-1 away against Defensa y Justicia in 2026. The six-match head-to-head record is evenly divided, with two wins for each side and two draws. Overall, CA Talleres de Cordoba hold a slight edge, but Defensa y Justicia's superior recent performances make a closely contested match likely, with a moderate scoring level and no clear expectation that either team will dominate.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Team news

Talleres squad updates ahead of the match

Talleres midfielder Matías Gómez has returned to light pitch work, Thiago Baroni is undergoing restricted contact training due to a nasal septum fracture, while Franco Cristaldo remains in physiotherapy recovering from a hamstring injury.

Schedule

Recent Clausura match results for both sides

In the previous round of the 2026 Argentine Clausura, Talleres de Córdoba suffered a 1-2 defeat to Boca Juniors, whereas Defensa y Justicia fell 0-1 at home against Instituto.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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