Match intelligence

CA Rosario Central — CA Huracan: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Rosario Central2
:
0CA Huracan
Locked signal 1X Probability 82.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 53.8% Home win CA Rosario Central
X 28.8% Draw
W2 17.4% Away win CA Huracan
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X81.5%
Both teams to score
No55.1%
Totals 2.5
Under58.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X81.5%
1270.9%
X247.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No44.9% / 55.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 88.7% / 11.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 69.1% / 30.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 41.2% / 58.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 20.7% / 79.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 8.7% / 91.3%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 3.2% / 96.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Rosario Central × CA Huracan
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 11.3%
0:1 6.4%
0:2 3.2%
0:3 0.9%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 13.2%
1:1 13.5%
1:2 4.9%
1:3 1.3%
1:4 0.3%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 11.2%
2:1 9.1%
2:2 3.7%
2:3 1.0%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 5.7%
3:1 4.6%
3:2 1.9%
3:3 0.5%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.2%
4:1 1.7%
4:2 0.7%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.7%
5:1 0.5%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.5%
1:013.2%
0:011.3%
2:011.2%
2:19.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 18.10.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 3:2
  • 11.10.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 5:0
  • 06.10.2026 away Banfield 1:1
  • 20.09.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 1:0
  • 13.09.2026 away Tigre 1:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.10.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
  • 10.10.2026 away Barracas Central 0:2
  • 04.10.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
  • 19.09.2026 away River Plate 2:1
  • 14.09.2026 home Racing Club 2:1

This season: CA Rosario Central at home vs CA Huracan away

Metric CA Rosario Central · at home CA Huracan · away
Matches1616
W–D–L8–5–33–9–4
Goals scored per match1.500.81
Goals conceded per match0.810.88
Over 2.5 goals50%19%
Both teams scored63%44%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Rosario Central wins2
Draws0
CA Huracan wins4
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals1/6
  • 12.04.2026 CA Huracan 3:1 CA Rosario Central
  • 18.05.2025 CA Rosario Central 0:1 CA Huracan
  • 27.07.2024 CA Rosario Central 0:1 CA Huracan
  • 01.03.2024 CA Huracan 2:0 CA Rosario Central
  • 07.10.2023 CA Rosario Central 1:0 CA Huracan
  • 21.03.2023 CA Huracan 0:2 CA Rosario Central

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 1.73 → now 1.85
W2 was 5.50 → now 5.00
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Rosario Central enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a slight edge over CA Huracan, supported by a strong recent run and a solid home record. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, drawing the other, while scoring 11 goals and conceding just three. Their consistency at home has also been encouraging, with eight wins from 16 matches this season, alongside five draws and three defeats. These results suggest that CA Rosario Central have the defensive stability and attacking efficiency to control important phases of the contest, although their advantage should not be overstated.

CA Huracan present a more complicated challenge. They have won three of their last five matches but lost the other two, scoring six goals and conceding six across that sequence. Their away record is less convincing in terms of victories, with three wins in 16 matches, but nine draws indicate that they can be difficult to overcome on the road. The recent head-to-head record also favours CA Huracan, who have won four of the last six meetings, including a 3-1 victory in the most recent encounter in 2026. Overall, a relatively controlled, medium-scoring match looks plausible, with CA Rosario Central better placed to take the initiative. However, CA Huracan's previous success in this matchup makes a draw a credible alternative.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Recent win for Rosario Central

Rosario Central enters the match following a 3-2 away victory over Atlético Tucumán in the 2026 Clausura, extending their unbeaten league run to six matches.

Schedule

Losing streak for Huracan

Huracán travels to Rosario on the back of two consecutive league defeats, having lost 2-0 to Barracas Central and 2-1 to Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata.

Match fact

Head-to-head history

Rosario Central and Huracán have played 145 official matches against each other, with Rosario Central recording 50 wins, 39 draws, and 56 losses.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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