CA Rosario Central — CA Huracan: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.5% |
| 12 | 70.9% | |
| X2 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.9% / 55.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.7% / 11.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.1% / 30.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 41.2% / 58.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 20.7% / 79.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.2% / 96.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 3:2
- 11.10.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 5:0
- 06.10.2026 away Banfield 1:1
- 20.09.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 1:0
- 13.09.2026 away Tigre 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.10.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 10.10.2026 away Barracas Central 0:2
- 04.10.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
- 19.09.2026 away River Plate 2:1
- 14.09.2026 home Racing Club 2:1
This season: CA Rosario Central at home vs CA Huracan away
| Metric | CA Rosario Central · at home | CA Huracan · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 8–5–3 | 3–9–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.04.2026 CA Huracan 3:1 CA Rosario Central
- 18.05.2025 CA Rosario Central 0:1 CA Huracan
- 27.07.2024 CA Rosario Central 0:1 CA Huracan
- 01.03.2024 CA Huracan 2:0 CA Rosario Central
- 07.10.2023 CA Rosario Central 1:0 CA Huracan
- 21.03.2023 CA Huracan 0:2 CA Rosario Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.73 → now 1.85 |
| W2 | was 5.50 → now 5.00 |
Match preview
CA Rosario Central enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a slight edge over CA Huracan, supported by a strong recent run and a solid home record. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, drawing the other, while scoring 11 goals and conceding just three. Their consistency at home has also been encouraging, with eight wins from 16 matches this season, alongside five draws and three defeats. These results suggest that CA Rosario Central have the defensive stability and attacking efficiency to control important phases of the contest, although their advantage should not be overstated.
CA Huracan present a more complicated challenge. They have won three of their last five matches but lost the other two, scoring six goals and conceding six across that sequence. Their away record is less convincing in terms of victories, with three wins in 16 matches, but nine draws indicate that they can be difficult to overcome on the road. The recent head-to-head record also favours CA Huracan, who have won four of the last six meetings, including a 3-1 victory in the most recent encounter in 2026. Overall, a relatively controlled, medium-scoring match looks plausible, with CA Rosario Central better placed to take the initiative. However, CA Huracan's previous success in this matchup makes a draw a credible alternative.
What matters before kick-off
Recent win for Rosario Central
Rosario Central enters the match following a 3-2 away victory over Atlético Tucumán in the 2026 Clausura, extending their unbeaten league run to six matches.
Losing streak for Huracan
Huracán travels to Rosario on the back of two consecutive league defeats, having lost 2-0 to Barracas Central and 2-1 to Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata.
Head-to-head history
Rosario Central and Huracán have played 145 official matches against each other, with Rosario Central recording 50 wins, 39 draws, and 56 losses.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
