CA Tigre — Atletico Tucuman: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

CA Tigre have a slight edge over Atletico Tucuman in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting, although neither side arrives in convincing form. Both teams have recorded no wins, one draw and four defeats across their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding ten. That shared record points towards a closely contested game rather than a clear advantage based on recent results alone. CA Tigre's home performances, however, provide a more encouraging foundation for this fixture.

Across 14 home matches this season, CA Tigre have won five, drawn six and lost three, scoring 15 goals and conceding 12. Atletico Tucuman have struggled more consistently on the road, with four wins, two draws and eight defeats in 14 away matches, alongside 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. This contrast gives the hosts a modest advantage, particularly if they can make effective use of home conditions. The head-to-head record also suggests a tight contest: the last six meetings produced four draws, with one win for each side, and their most recent encounter ended 0-0 in 2026.

A low-scoring match appears the most plausible overall reading. CA Tigre may have the better opportunity to secure a narrow victory, but a draw remains a credible outcome. The balance of evidence favours the hosts slightly, with limited scoring likely to keep the contest close.