Sporting CP — Academico de Viseu FC: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.0% |
| 12 | 87.0% | |
| X2 | 20.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.3% / 2.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.7% / 27.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.7% / 67.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.1% / 81.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Sporting CP
3rd place · 18 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.10.2026 away Sp Braga 3:1
- 19.09.2026 home Arouca 2:2
- 13.09.2026 away Famalicao 1:1
- 05.09.2026 home Nacional 2:0
- 28.08.2026 away Rio Ave 4:0
Academico de Viseu FC
7th place · 14 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.10.2026 home Estoril 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away Estrela 2:0
- 12.09.2026 home Guimaraes 2:1
- 06.09.2026 away Gil Vicente 1:0
- 29.08.2026 home Porto 0:3
This season: Sporting CP at home vs Academico de Viseu FC away
| Metric | Sporting CP · at home | Academico de Viseu FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 3–1–0 | 2–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.88 | 1.47 |
| xG against per match | 0.93 | 1.78 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.25 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| X | was 6.00 → now 6.25 |
| W2 | was 13.00 → now 11.00 |
Match preview
Sporting CP look clearly stronger heading into their Liga Portugal meeting with Academico de Viseu FC, with a consistent recent record and a solid position in the league providing a strong foundation. Sporting CP have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only four. Sitting third with 18 points from eight games, they have shown both attacking quality and defensive stability. Their home form reinforces that picture: three wins and one draw from four matches, with 10 goals scored, although five conceded suggests there can still be opportunities for opponents.
Academico de Viseu FC arrive in encouraging form themselves, having won four of their last five matches. They have scored seven goals and conceded five across that run, while their seventh-place position with 14 points from eight games reflects a competitive start to the campaign. Their away record is also respectable, with two wins and two draws from four matches, seven goals scored and four conceded. This makes them a credible opponent rather than an easy prospect, particularly given their ability to collect points on the road.
The overall balance still favours Sporting CP. Their stronger chance creation at home and greater attacking output suggest they can control significant periods of the contest. A match with several goals is plausible, while Academico de Viseu FC may have opportunities to contribute, though their scoring remains uncertain.
What matters before kick-off
Zeno Debast ruled out for Sporting CP
Sporting CP manager Rui Borges confirmed that defender Zeno Debast will miss the match against Académico de Viseu due to injury.
Strong away support for Académico de Viseu
More than 850 Académico de Viseu supporters booked tickets to travel to Estádio José Alvalade, prompting Sporting CP to open an additional away sector.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
