Juventus Turin — Stade Rennais FC: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026

Juventus Turin enter this UEFA Europa League meeting as the stronger side on paper, with home advantage adding to their appeal, although their recent form suggests there are still questions to answer. Across their last five matches, Juventus Turin have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats, scoring six goals while conceding eight. That record points to a team that has struggled to find consistency and has allowed opponents too many opportunities. They will need a more balanced performance to turn their apparent advantage into a convincing display against Stade Rennais FC.

Stade Rennais FC arrive with a more productive recent record, having won three of their last five matches and lost twice. They have scored ten goals in that period, demonstrating a greater attacking output than their hosts, but they have also conceded ten. This combination suggests that Stade Rennais FC can pose a threat going forward while remaining vulnerable defensively. Their recent results give them grounds for confidence, even against a side with the stronger overall outlook.

Juventus Turin hold a moderate but clear edge, particularly given the home setting, though Stade Rennais FC have shown enough attacking quality to make the contest competitive. A medium-scoring match looks plausible, with the hosts better positioned to control the outcome if they improve their defensive discipline. A draw remains a realistic alternative if Stade Rennais FC exploit the spaces available.