Ferencvarosi Budapest — SCU Torreense: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.1% |
| 12 | 82.3% | |
| X2 | 26.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.9% / 15.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.8% / 36.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.6% / 58.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.5% / 76.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Ferencvarosi Budapest enter their UEFA Europa League encounter against SCU Torreense on October 22 as the clear favourites. The hosts hold a significant advantage in the overall balance of the matchup, making a home victory the most convincing outcome. Their stronger position suggests they should be capable of taking control of the contest and creating enough attacking opportunities to put pressure on the visitors. SCU Torreense face a demanding challenge, with their prospects largely dependent on their ability to remain competitive against the stronger opposition.
The match also carries the potential for a relatively high-scoring contest, although that expectation does not necessarily mean both teams will find the net. Whether SCU Torreense can contribute to the scoring remains uncertain, and a home victory without conceding appears just as plausible as a result in which both sides score. This distinction is important when assessing the likely pattern of the game.
Overall, Ferencvarosi Budapest have a clear advantage, with a home win the preferred expectation. A controlled victory by one or two goals represents a reasonable scenario, while a more open encounter remains possible.
What matters before kick-off
Ferencvaros recent form
Ferencvaros enter the match following a 1-1 draw against Kisvarda in the Hungarian league. In the Europa League, the Budapest side won both of their opening two league phase matches.
Team availability news
Ferencvaros head coach Balazs Borbely has no new injury concerns, though Bence Otvos remains sidelined due to a long-term ACL injury. SCU Torreense come into the tie following a 2-1 defeat to Sunderland in their last Europa League fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.