Celtic Glasgow — RC Celta de Vigo: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.6% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.6% / 36.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.1% / 16.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.1% / 39.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.8% / 62.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.4% / 79.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Hearts 7:1
- 11.10.2026 away Motherwell 2:0
- 20.09.2026 home Rangers 0:1
- 09.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:0
- 05.09.2026 away St Mirren 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 home Alaves 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Elche 0:0
- 19.09.2026 home Santander 5:0
- 13.09.2026 home Malaga 1:1
- 07.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.70 → now 2.45 |
| W2 | was 2.60 → now 2.75 |
Match preview
Celtic Glasgow enter this UEFA Europa League meeting with RC Celta de Vigo in strong recent form, having won four of their last five matches and scored 12 goals while conceding only three. That record highlights the hosts’ attacking effectiveness and defensive stability, giving them a solid foundation at home. However, RC Celta de Vigo have also shown consistency, remaining unbeaten across their last five matches, with two wins and three draws. Their ability to avoid defeat suggests that Celtic Glasgow should expect a competitive contest rather than a straightforward home performance.
The teams appear evenly matched overall, with both showing an ability to score regularly while maintaining relatively tight defences. RC Celta de Vigo have scored nine goals in their last five matches and conceded three, matching Celtic Glasgow’s defensive record over the same period. The hosts have the stronger winning record, but the visitors’ unbeaten run offers a counterbalance and indicates that they can remain difficult to overcome. These contrasting strengths point towards an open game in which both sides could find opportunities in attack.
A draw is a credible outcome, although either team has a reasonable route to victory. Celtic Glasgow may benefit from their recent momentum, while RC Celta de Vigo have demonstrated resilience. With both teams producing goals consistently, a match featuring scoring at both ends looks a plausible reading of the overall balance.
What matters before kick-off
Celtic's recent result
The Scottish club enters this Europa League fixture following a dominant 7-1 victory over Hearts in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday.
Celta Vigo's recent result
Celta Vigo head into the match coming off a 2-1 victory over Alaves in La Liga on Sunday.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.