AFC Bournemouth — AC Milan: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026

AFC Bournemouth face AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League in a contest that looks evenly matched, with both sides having reasons to expect a competitive encounter. The recent form gives AC Milan a slight advantage in consistency, as they have recorded two wins and three draws in their last five matches without a defeat. AFC Bournemouth, by contrast, have managed one win, two draws and two losses over the same period. That difference suggests the visitors arrive with a more stable foundation, although it does not remove the possibility of a strong response from the hosts.

The scoring records point towards a match in which both teams could find opportunities. AFC Bournemouth have scored seven goals in their last five matches but conceded ten, indicating difficulties in maintaining defensive control. AC Milan have been more balanced, scoring ten and allowing six, which gives them a stronger overall profile at both ends of the pitch. Their unbeaten run is a meaningful positive, but AFC Bournemouth's attacking output suggests they should not be discounted, particularly in a contest where home advantage may help keep the balance close. A medium-scoring match appears plausible, with both teams capable of contributing to the scoreline. Overall, AC Milan look the more consistent side, while AFC Bournemouth have enough attacking potential to make this a competitive fixture.