FC Viktoria Plzen — PFC Levski Sofia: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.8% |
| 12 | 75.3% | |
| X2 | 43.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.3% / 6.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.5% / 20.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.8% / 67.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.7% / 83.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| W2 | was 4.50 → now 4.75 |
Match preview
FC Viktoria Plzen have a slight edge heading into their UEFA Europa League meeting with PFC Levski Sofia, although the overall balance suggests a competitive contest rather than a clear mismatch. The hosts may have an advantage, but confidence in that assessment remains low, leaving room for the visitors to challenge the expected pattern of the game. FC Viktoria Plzen will look to make their home advantage count, while PFC Levski Sofia have a realistic opportunity to keep the match close and make the outcome uncertain.
The scoring outlook points towards a moderately open encounter, with both teams having a reasonable chance of finding the net. A match featuring goals at both ends is a plausible scenario, particularly if neither side can establish sustained control. However, the game does not necessarily need to become a high-scoring contest for FC Viktoria Plzen to secure an advantage. A narrow home victory is one credible outcome, while a draw remains a meaningful alternative. A more controlled performance from the hosts could also limit PFC Levski Sofia's opportunities. Overall, FC Viktoria Plzen hold a marginal advantage, but the limited confidence in that edge makes this a fixture where the competitive balance and the potential for contributions from both attacks deserve particular attention.
What matters before kick-off
Viktoria Plzeň's Europa League results
The Czech side started the Europa League league phase with two consecutive losses, falling to Union Saint-Gilloise (0-3) and Ferencváros (1-2).
First-ever meeting between the teams
This Europa League league phase fixture marks the first official competitive meeting between FC Viktoria Plzeň and PFC Levski Sofia.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.