Jagiellonia Bialystok — RSC Anderlecht: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026

Jagiellonia Bialystok face RSC Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League with a slight edge for the visitors, whose recent results suggest greater consistency and defensive stability. Jagiellonia Bialystok have recorded two wins, one draw and one defeat across their last four matches, scoring seven goals and conceding five. Their attacking output has been encouraging, but the number of goals allowed indicates that defensive control could be a key factor in this contest. Playing at home offers an opportunity to challenge Anderlecht, although maintaining balance between attack and defence will be important.

RSC Anderlecht arrive in stronger recent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches and no defeats. They have also scored seven goals while conceding just one, a record that highlights their ability to combine attacking efficiency with disciplined defending. This contrast gives the Belgian side a meaningful advantage, even if the away setting makes the matchup less straightforward. The overall outlook points towards a competitive game with opportunities for both teams to score and a moderate expectation of goals. Jagiellonia Bialystok have shown enough attacking quality to threaten, but RSC Anderlecht's consistency and defensive record make them the more convincing side. A draw remains plausible, while the visitors appear better positioned to avoid defeat.